Asset allocation report in the third week of April: risk pricing - is the upside down of interest rate difference between China and the United States the result or not

Performance of various assets in the second week of April:

In the second week of April, most US stock indexes fell. Wind all a fell 1.74%, with a turnover of 2.8 trillion yuan, and the turnover fell sharply. In the primary industry, the performance of real estate, construction and building materials is at the top; The performance of national defense, military industry, electronic and power equipment is lagging behind. The credit bond index rose 0.24% and the Treasury bond index rose 0.27%.

In the third week of April, the cost performance and trading opportunities of various types of assets were evaluated:

Equity - the impact of the epidemic on the economy has deepened, and the need for hedging policies has increased

Bonds - liquidity returned to a very loose level, and the market expectation for monetary policy remained neutral

Commodities - IEA member countries dumped reserves, OPEC + and US production rebounded slightly, and the high oil price fell

Exchange rate - the real interest rate of US bonds is not the main contradiction. Is the upside down of interest rate difference between China and the United States the result or not

Overseas - with the interest rate upside down, the Joint Reserve hawk school remains the same, the US bond interest rate has exceeded 2.7%, and the odds of US stocks have further fallen to the more expensive level

Risk tip: the mortality rate of Omicron is higher than expected; Economic growth fell faster than expected; Monetary policy tightened more than expected

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