April market outlook and recommendation of top ten gold stocks
In March, A-Shares were affected by peripheral disturbance events, and the main indexes fell by the same range. At the beginning of the month, affected by the intensification of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the market continued to adjust significantly; After the end of the policy was established at the special meeting of the Financial Committee on March 16, investor sentiment picked up significantly and the market ushered in shock repair. Let’s specifically analyze several aspects that affect the market trend in the near future.
From the perspective of performance forecast, as of March 29, 138 enterprises in the A-share market had disclosed the performance forecast of the first quarter report, and 120 enterprises were pleased with the forecast rate of more than 86%, including many enterprises in basic chemical industry, electronics, medical biology, national defense and military industry. In terms of performance growth, 41 enterprises are expected to double their net profits, including a large number of basic chemical and power equipment enterprises.
From the perspective of economic policies, Zhou Sanguo often mentioned that the policies to stabilize the economy should be carried out early and quickly, and there should be no measures that are not conducive to stabilizing market expectations. The data show that the economy made a good start from January to February, but on the one hand, the demand side is still weak. The recent repeated epidemic has also had a certain impact on the economy in March. Therefore, in this year’s gdp5 Under the steady growth target of about 5%, the space for follow-up policies is expected to be improved, including monetary policy, fiscal policy and industrial policy. We see the recent intensive release of policies in energy, medicine and other industries, and the relevant sectors are expected to usher in rapid development opportunities.
From the perspective of capital sentiment, with the continuous adjustment of the index since this year, the trading volume has decreased significantly. Under the shock and grinding bottom, the recent transactions have been close to the ground volume, and the capital wait-and-see atmosphere is strong. However, stimulated by the easing of concerns about the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the landing of the Fed’s interest rate hike and the strong signal of stability released by the special meeting of the financial stability Commission of the State Council, market sentiment gradually repaired. Affected by the improvement of the situation in Russia and Ukraine and the marginal easing of real estate policy on Wednesday, the main A-share index rose sharply, the net inflow of funds in the North hit a new high in the year, and the fear of foreign capital outflow was temporarily alleviated.
We expect that in April, under the hedge of foreign factors, the A-share shock repair market is expected to continue. The change of profit expectation will lead to the differentiation of the market. It is suggested that investors should pay more attention to individual stocks than the index, focus on the layout of the power end of the policy around the certainty of performance, and focus on two main lines.
First, the performance window is approaching, and pay attention to the pre hi sector of the first quarterly report. April will usher in a performance intensive disclosure period, and the market will return to the verification period of performance. From the perspective of industry prosperity, the performance certainty of basic chemical industry, electronics, medical biology, national defense and military industry is relatively stronger. It is suggested that investors should pay attention to the performance of the first quarter report in advance in combination with the valuation matching degree.
Second, grasp the main line of policy. As the main policy line, steady growth will remain the main market in the long run. It is suggested to continue to pay attention to new and old infrastructure and investment opportunities in the consumer industry to expand domestic demand. In addition, the recent intensive release of policies in energy, medicine and other industries is expected to usher in rapid development opportunities in relevant sectors. It is suggested to pay attention to high-quality target investment opportunities in policy beneficiary sectors.
In April April April, Guangdong opened the door to the opening of the April April April for the opening of the Guangdong Guangdong securities. The top ten gold stock combinations of the Guangdong opening ”’april April April April, with the combination of the top ten gold stock portfolio of the Guangdong opening securities, which are respectively: openingfor the opening of the April April April April. The top ten golden stock combinations of the Guangdong Guangdong opening securities, respectively: Hongda Xingye Co.Ltd(002002) Huaming Power Equipment Co.Ltd(002270) 0227 Huaming Power Equipment Co.Ltd(002270) 0227 Beijing Oriental Yuhong Waterproof Technology Co.Ltd(002271) , Topchoice Medical Co.Inc(600763) .
Risk tips: the policy force and expectation, the drag of repeated epidemic on the economy exceeded expectations, and the external disturbance exceeded expectations.
