Asset allocation report in the first week of January: risk pricing – market expectations are chaotic, and the agitation in spring still needs to be observed

Performance of various assets in the 5th week of December:

In the fifth week of December, most US stock indexes fell. Wind all a rose 1.27%, with a turnover of 5.1 trillion yuan, and the turnover continued to fall. Among the primary industries, national defense and military industry, light industry manufacturing and basic chemical industry increased significantly; Automobile, coal and food and beverage performance were lower. The credit bond index rose 0.18% and the Treasury bond index rose 0.43%.

Evaluation of cost performance and trading opportunities of various types of assets in the first week of January:

Equity – market expectations are chaotic, and the start of agitation in spring needs to be observed

Bonds – the cross year liquidity environment increased slightly, but there is no need to worry too much about short-term funds

Commodities – oil prices are gradually insensitive to the negative impact of the fourth wave of epidemic led by Omicron

The exchange rate – US dollar index fluctuated around 96 and did not break the previous high

Overseas – inflation expectations push up US bond interest rates again

Risk tip: the mortality of Omicron is higher than expected; Economic growth fell faster than expected; Monetary policy tightened more than expected

 

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