The central economic work conference was held in Beijing from December 8 to 10. The conference summarized the economic work in 2021, analyzed the current economic situation and deployed the economic work in 2022.
According to the Xinhua News Agency press release of the meeting, it can highlight the characteristics of the spirit of the central economic work conference Key words and sentences can be summarized as: "unswervingly do their own things", "stability", "new development concept", "new development pattern", "high-quality development", "overall development and security", "stand first and break later", "system concept", "appropriate policy force forward", "virtuous circle", etc.
With regard to the external environment, the meeting pointed out that "we must see that China's economic development is facing triple pressures of shrinking demand, supply shock and weakening expectations. Under the impact of the epidemic in the 21st century, the changes in the past century have accelerated, and the external environment has become more complex, severe and uncertain." At the same time, the meeting stressed that "we should unswervingly do our own things."
With regard to the understanding of the regularity of doing a good job in economic work, this meeting stressed four "must" and six "persistence".
With regard to the main tone of economic work next year, this meeting defined it as "seeking progress while maintaining stability". We preliminarily predict that China's GDP growth is expected to exceed 8% in 2021; China's GDP growth in 2022 may be about 5.5% - 5.7%, and the average is expected to be 5.6%.
With regard to the key tasks of next year's economic work, this meeting stressed that we should implement a positive fiscal policy, ensure the intensity of fiscal expenditure, and appropriately advance infrastructure investment; Prudent monetary policy, flexible and appropriate, and increase structural support for key areas; We should strengthen anti-monopoly and anti unfair competition, and effectively deal with malicious arrears and evasion of debts; We should break through the blocking point of supply constraints, stimulate the emergence of a large number of "specialized and special new" enterprises, support the commercial housing market to better meet the reasonable housing needs of buyers, and promote the virtuous cycle and healthy development of the real estate industry due to urban policies; wait. We preliminarily expect that the "pre emptive" characteristics of the issuance of local government special bonds next year will be more obvious, and the fiscal deficit ratio may remain at 3.3%; Next year, the growth rate of China's broad money M2 will be about 8.8% - 9.2%, and the growth rate of social financing scale stock will be about 11.0-11.5%.
