Xinrongxun: short-term market style may be switched

Double financing balance

As of February 14, the balance of the two financial institutions on the Shanghai Stock Exchange reported 913.475 billion yuan, an increase of 1.748 billion yuan over the previous trading day; The two financial balances of Shenzhen Stock Exchange reported 802.421 billion yuan, an increase of 95 million yuan over the previous trading day; The two cities totaled 1715.895 billion yuan, an increase of 1.842 billion yuan over the previous trading day.

Latest views

On Monday, A-Shares were weak, and the three indexes fell more than 1% in the session. Gem refers to the unsuccessful rebound and continued to set a new low. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.98%, the Shenzhen composite index fell 0.77%, the gem index fell 0.52%, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 fell 1.08%, the Shanghai 50 fell 1.24%, and the China Securities 500 fell 0.73%. The number of gainers in the two cities was 2176, lower than the average value of 2567 last week and higher than 594 in the previous trading day. The limit was 96, higher than the average value of 91 last week and 60 in the previous trading day. The number of decliners in the two cities was 2291, higher than the average of 1945 last week and lower than 3952 in the previous trading day. The number of drop limits was 23, higher than the average value of 22 last week, unchanged from 23 in the previous trading day. Northbound funds had a net outflow of 3.788 billion yuan, with an average net inflow of 2.149 billion yuan last week and a net inflow of 1.005 billion yuan on the previous trading day. The turnover of the two cities was 863.495 billion yuan, with an average value of 913.288 billion yuan last week and 992.678 billion yuan the previous trading day. For the main board, due to the financial front, the structure underestimates the value of building materials, industrial metals and energy products. However, under the background of the disappearance of spatial advantages and unclear long-term logic, there is probably a second step back. At the same time, the GEM market may carry the outflow funds of the main board, At present, the gem is close to the adjustment target level after the double headed decline, and is expected to have a strong reaction in the 2700 region.

Topic tracking

Focus today: duty free shops, NFT, energy metals

1. Theme of duty-free shops: during the Spring Festival, a number of preferential shopping policies in Hainan attract overseas consumption. According to the data of Hainan Provincial Department of Commerce, there are five tax-free business entities in Hainan outlying islands, and the number of outlying island duty-free stores has increased to 10. With the second phase of Haikou Meilan Airport put into use, the business area of duty-free stores has reached 220000 square meters, and the number of brands of duty-free stores has exceeded 720. With the active layout of international brands, the opening of innovative marketing models such as Hainan outlying island duty-free market and online “new retail” channels, the maturity of epidemic prevention policies and the accelerated research and development of covid-19 oral drugs, promoting the recovery of tourism, Hainan duty-free market has broad prospects. Suggested attention: Nanning Department Store Co.Ltd(600712) (600712), China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited(601888) (601888)

2, Bing dwen dwen: NFT Bing dwen dwen NFT digital collection issued by the official International Olympic Committee authorized to sell on February 12th, Beijing, Beijing, 2022 (NordiccombinedBeijing2022) mascot ice pin pier series. At present, 13 NFT are sold in nWayPlay, the lowest quotation has reached US $2000, the highest price is 88888 USD, compared with the initial issue price 99 US dollars. Soared nearly 1000 times. Catalyzed by this, the adjustment of superimposed NFT sectors is relatively sufficient, and the rebound opportunities of leading stocks in the early stage can be properly paid attention to. Suggested attention: Zhejiang Huamei Holding Co.Ltd(000607) (000607), Zhewen Interactive Group Co.Ltd(600986) (600989)

3. Energy metal theme: under the background of “double carbon”, the new energy vehicle industry has a high prosperity. In January, the production and sales of new energy vehicles were 194000 and 179000 respectively, with a year-on-year increase of 285.8% and 238.5% respectively. Drive the development of upstream industries such as power batteries, and further increase the demand for energy metals. However, affected by the international situation, climate and other factors, the supply of energy metals is tight. In the short term, the mismatch between supply and demand led to an upward price. Lithium carbonate reached 374200 / ton on February 12. With the continuous penetration of new energy and new materials, the performance of energy metal sector can be expected. Suggestions: Tianqi Lithium Corporation(002466) (002466), Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co.Ltd(603799) (603799)

Risk tips

The epidemic has not been effectively controlled, the macro economy has unexpectedly declined, the liquidity crunch has intensified, and the industrial policies are lower than expected.

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