Shan Xi Hua Yang Group New Energy Co.Ltd(600348) undervalued, high growth targets, multi pronged transformation of new energy

\u3000\u3 Jointo Energy Investment Co.Ltd.Hebei(000600) 348 Shan Xi Hua Yang Group New Energy Co.Ltd(600348) )

Event: the company released the first quarter report of 2022. In the first quarter of 2022, the company achieved an operating revenue of 9 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.5% and a month on month decrease of 10.1%; The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.3 billion yuan, an increase of 181.7% year-on-year and 4.8% month on month; Net profit deducted from non parent company was 1.3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 189.6%. The basic earnings per share was 0.54 yuan / share, a year-on-year increase of 185%. The main reason is that the company has no consignment business since May 2021, and the scale of revenue has declined; However, the price per ton of coal remained high, and the net profit attributable to the parent continued to reach a new high.

Coal sales: there is still room for substantial growth. In the first quarter of 2022, the company’s coal sector achieved a revenue of 8.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.7%; The gross profit was 3.08 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 96.9%; The gross profit margin was 37.2%, up 21.8pct year-on-year. In the future, the company has two mines under construction, Qiyuan coal mine and Boli coal mine. Qiyuan coal mine has a production capacity of 5 million tons / year, and the coal type is mainly anthracite. At present, the energy evaluation has been preliminarily reviewed by experts organized by the Provincial Energy Bureau on March 25, 2022, and it is expected to be put into operation in December 2023; Poli mine involves a production capacity of 5 million tons / year, and the coal type is anthracite. The company’s vision is to have a capacity increase of 10 million tons / year, and Jingfu mine (900000 tons) and yushupo (1.2 million tons) have the capacity to increase the capacity to 5 million tons, laying the foundation for sustainable development.

Volume: in 2022, Q1 achieved 11.58 million tons of raw coal output, a year-on-year decrease of 6.6%; The coal sales volume was 10.79 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 54%.

Price: in 2022, the comprehensive selling price of Q1 commercial coal was 768 yuan / ton, with a year-on-year increase of 76.7%; The cost per ton of coal was 482 yuan / ton, up 31.1% year-on-year; The gross profit per ton of coal was 286 yuan / ton, up 327.9% year-on-year;

“New energy + energy storage” is advancing in parallel, and the transformation of new energy is accelerating. In terms of photovoltaic modules, Xinyang clean energy, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the company, plans to build a 5GW high-efficiency photovoltaic module production base through the establishment of Huachu optoelectronics. The total investment of the project is expected to be 1.097 billion yuan. At present, the first 0.5gwh production line has been put into operation on January 22, 2022, and the second production line has entered the climbing stage of single shift capacity. In terms of electrochemical energy storage, the company took the lead in building 2000 tons of sodium ion positive and negative materials through fund holding zhongkehaina (the world’s leading sodium ion battery R & D team) and joint venture to establish subsidiaries; In September of 21, the company signed a cooperation agreement with Do-Fluoride New Materials Co.Ltd(002407) wutong tree capital, aiming to achieve strong alliance in upstream raw materials, electrolyte, batteries and other links, jointly build a new energy industry chain, and further improve the company’s layout in the field of sodium ion batteries; At present, the positive and negative materials have been put into trial production at the end of March 22. In terms of physical energy storage, the company transferred 49% equity of Yangquan Qifeng in August 21 to optimize the company’s strategic layout, enhance the advantages of flywheel energy storage business, and play a synergistic effect with the company’s existing sodium ion battery positive and negative material projects; By the end of the 21st year, a total of 20 sets of flywheel energy storage devices have been produced, including 2 sets of qffl200 / 60s flywheel energy storage devices. One photovoltaic + flywheel + sodium ion battery microgrid system in the flywheel workshop is in use, and the other one is used for the optical storage network charging demonstration project in Taiyuan comprehensive reform zone; 18 sets of qffl600 / 30s flywheel energy storage devices have been completed and 1 set is reserved; Two sets of chegongmiao of Shenzhen Metro Line 7 have been delivered and have been fully debugged; 15 sets of frequency modulation projects of Hebei Sanhe Power Plant and Huaneng Shandong Laiwu power plant are under commissioning. The flywheel casting company is a first-class energy storage enterprise. We expect that in the future, the company will vigorously layout forward-looking and leading projects in the field of new energy such as topconn double-sided single crystal battery, sodium ion battery and flywheel energy storage, and strive to create the ultimate energy solution of “new energy + energy storage” in the future through the system of “photovoltaic + electrochemical energy storage + physical energy storage + smart microgrid + charging pile”.

Investment advice. The company changed its name to Shan Xi Hua Yang Group New Energy Co.Ltd(600348) . In addition to continuing to consolidate and strengthen the traditional main coal industry, accelerating the cultivation of new energy industry will also become another important mission of the company. It is estimated that the net profit attributable to the parent company from 2022 to 2024 will be 6.87 billion yuan, 8.09 billion yuan and 8.89 billion yuan respectively, and the EPS will be 2.86 yuan, 3.36 yuan and 3.70 yuan respectively, corresponding to PE of 3.8, 3.3 and 3.0, maintaining the “buy” rating.

Risk tip: the coal price has fallen sharply, the company has a safety accident, the production progress of the mine under construction is less than expected, and there is uncertainty in the development of new energy business

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