Jufeng investment adviser: add positions after the good news subsides

brief description of disk

A shares rebounded on Monday, led by the gem index. On the disk, Internet services, software development, computer equipment, communications, cultural media, optical optoelectronics, shipbuilding, electronic components, consumer electronics, auto parts, semiconductors and other industries led the increase, while medical devices, pharmaceutical commerce, traditional Chinese medicine, energy metals, precious metals and other industries made a slight correction. In terms of subject stocks, covid-19 drugs, Huawei Euler, digital currency, smart government, lidar, network security, biometrics and domestic software rose by more than 5%; In vitro diagnosis, dexamethasone, aquaculture, hair medicine, influenza, prefabricated vegetable concept and so on.

hot sector

Internet services led the rise: Beijing Haitian Ruisheng Science Technology Ltd(688787) , Beijing Advanced Digital Technology Co.Ltd(300541) , Shanghaichengdiconstructioncorporationltd(603887) , Jc Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd(002530) , Beijing Teamsun Technology Co.Ltd(600410) , Ronglian Group Ltd(002642) , Linewell Software Co.Ltd(603636) , Servyou Software Group Co.Ltd(603171) , Beijing Vastdata Technology Co.Ltd(603138) , Beijing Jingyeda Technology Co.Ltd(003005) , Beyondsoft Corporation(002649) , Shanghai Athub Co.Ltd(603881) , Inspur Software Co.Ltd(600756) , Digital China Information Service Company Ltd(000555) etc. There is a limit tide in this sector, which is related to digital infrastructure. In view of the strong rebound in this sector, we should pay attention to controlling risks when chasing higher.

Advance limit tide of digital currency: Beijing Certificate Authority Co.Ltd(300579) , Shenzhen Emperor Technology Company Limited(300546) , Synthesis Electronic Technology Co.Ltd(300479) , tianlongico, Beijing Advanced Digital Technology Co.Ltd(300541) , Newcapec Electronics Co.Ltd(300248) 20% limit, Jc Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd(002530) , Beijing Cuiwei Tower Co.Ltd(603123) , Zjbc Information Technology Co.Ltd(000889) , Beyondsoft Corporation(002649) , Chutian Dragon Co.Ltd(003040) , Northking Information Technology Co.Ltd(002987) , Guangzhou Kingteller Technology Co.Ltd(002177) , Eastcompeace Technology Co.Ltd(002017) , Digital China Information Service Company Ltd(000555) , Genimous Technology Co.Ltd(000676) .

Covid-19 drug strength: Hybio Pharmaceutical Co.Ltd(300199) , Staidson(Beijing) Biopharmaceuticals Co.Ltd(300204) , Xinxiang Tuoxin Pharmaceutical Co.Ltd(301089) hit the 20% limit, Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical Co.Ltd(300436) , Shanghai Junshi Biosciences Co.Ltd(688180) , Frontier Biotechnologies Inc(688221) rose by more than 10%, and Zhejiang Hisun Pharmaceutical Co.Ltd(600267) , Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group Co.Ltd(002349) rose. Covid-19 test sector and traditional Chinese medicine sector, which continued to rise sharply last week, were adjusted and replaced by covid-19 drug sector.

message plane

the national development and Reform Commission issued a notice and deployed to do a good job in promoting consumption in the near future

Take measures according to local conditions to meet residents' festival consumption needs. Adhere to the normalization of epidemic prevention and control, stabilize and expand consumption, implement local main responsibilities, prevent simplification, "one size fits all" and "layer by layer" prevention and control, and minimize the impact on people's production and life. Innovate and enrich New Year's meals, encourage the provision of multi category packages, self catering, online booking of new year's Eve food materials and other services, and encourage the production and sale of semi-finished products and "clean dishes on the market".

the official launch of the reform of goods and bank payment is more conducive to attracting overseas funds

A reform of "cash for goods" (DVP) was officially launched! The smooth implementation of this reform will help to reduce the overall payment proportion of settlement provisions, improve the use efficiency of market funds and further stimulate the vitality of the market. On January 14, the CSRC officially launched the reform of cash versus delivery, soliciting opinions from the market on the proposed revised administrative measures for securities registration and settlement, and China Securities Depository and Clearing Co., Ltd. solicited opinions on the settlement rules and administrative measures for settlement provisions simultaneously. It is reported that DVP is a basic system widely used in the international market to ensure the full settlement of money and securities after securities transactions are completed.

the central bank cut MLF and reverse repo interest rates by 10 basis points

In order to maintain the reasonable and abundant liquidity of the banking system, on January 17, 2022, the people's Bank of China carried out RMB 700 billion medium-term lending facility (MLF) operation and RMB 100 billion open market reverse repurchase operation. The bid winning interest rate of medium-term lending facility (MLF) operation and open market reverse repurchase operation decreased by 10 basis points.

Jufeng view

medium term strategy:

Jufeng investment adviser believes that the liquidity at the macro level has gradually improved, and the PMI index has turned upward for two consecutive months, indicating that the medium-term market of A-Shares is expected to be better, and the offensive in spring will be gradually launched.

Pre market judgment: in the early review of "A shares will accelerate the bottom building process", it is pointed out that the news over the weekend is mixed. It is expected that A-Shares will continue to callback on Monday, and it is inevitable that the Shanghai index will open low, which does not rule out the possibility of stepping back on 3500 points; The annual report forecast of Big Mac listed companies may have an impact on the market. The annual report forecast was released on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited(601888) on Friday, with a performance growth rate of 54 ~ 66%, but in fact, the performance in the fourth quarter decreased month on month compared with the same period last year! In addition, the reduction of Maotai holdings by three foreign funds may also cause the market to be vigilant against overvalued stocks. The gem is expected to rise driven by technology stocks.

actually:

Before trading, the central bank released heavy benefits: after the expiration of 500 billion MLF, it continued to make 700 billion MLF, and conducted 100 billion reverse repurchase, equivalent to a net investment of 300 billion yuan, and the bid winning interest rate decreased by 10 basis points. Under this influence, A-Shares opened slightly higher. Gem rebounded sharply, and domestic software, intelligent driving, semiconductor and other technology stocks rose sharply. Last week's strong sector traditional Chinese medicine, prefabricated dishes and covid-19 detection collective callback.

In the afternoon, the ship sector rose, the securities sector fell, and the stock index was adjusted horizontally. Today's growth enterprise market index is mainly pushed Beijing Dynamic Power Co.Ltd(600405) from lithium battery, Internet, media and other sectors, and the pharmaceutical and biological sector has restrained the growth enterprise market index. From the hot sector of the whole day, funds entered the market enthusiastically, and the trading volume of the two cities exceeded the trillion mark for 12 consecutive days. Since the market has chosen to rise in large quantities, we might as well look at the high line. For investors with light positions, there is no need to rush to increase their positions. In fact, the unexpected interest rate cut by the central bank can not be compared with the previous comprehensive RRR reduction. If there is no big drop in the market tomorrow and the day after tomorrow, the short-term low can be confirmed. It's not too late to add positions then.

investment advice:

Recently, the market sector rotates very fast. After a sharp rise, we should evacuate in time and switch to the next potential opportunity point. After new year's day, A-shares continued to callback. It is suggested that the midline bargain hunting pay attention to technology stocks such as intelligent driving and chips with large growth space. In the short term, we can focus on four opportunities: state-owned assets reform, high annual growth, securities companies and oversold new shares.

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