There are so many accidents!
According to the financial times on Wednesday (May 4), citing people familiar with the matter, Washington has begun to prepare sanctions against Chinese video surveillance technology company Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.Ltd(002415) . Affected by this, Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.Ltd(002415) Thursday morning's performance was dismal, and the share price opened at the limit. After a little struggle, the limit was closed.
on the other hand, many white horse stocks also fell sharply on Thursday morning Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) once plummeted by more than 13% due to the lower than expected performance of the newspaper industry in the first quarter, Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co.Ltd(300999) once plummeted by nearly 10% due to the sharp decline in the performance in the first quarter, Imeik Technology Development Co.Ltd(300896) once plummeted by nearly 5% due to the reduction announcement
However, it is worth noting that Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) and Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co.Ltd(300999) also have funds to enter the market to copy the bottom. Taking Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) as an example, the trading volume of the stock exceeded that of the whole day on the previous trading day in less than one hour. In addition, from the perspective of market structure, individual stocks rose more and fell less. The market is obviously warmer than in April.
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.Ltd(002415) limit
Opening on the first day after May Day, Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.Ltd(002415) opening fell by the limit to 38.24 yuan. Then there was a slight repetition, but it was still blocked on the limit.
In terms of news, according to the financial times on Wednesday (May 4), citing people familiar with the situation, Washington has begun to prepare sanctions against Chinese video surveillance technology company Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.Ltd(002415) . According to reports, two sources told the financial times that Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.Ltd(002415) customers are all over the world, and Washington has begun to inform its allies Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.Ltd(002415) said in an email reply to Reuters that the company has always and will continue to comply with the laws and regulations of the country in which it operates.
so how big is the impact Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.Ltd(002415) said in the email, "the actions proposed by the U.S. government need to be verified. We believe that any such sanctions should be based on credible evidence, follow due process, and expect fair and just treatment."
On April 29, Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.Ltd(002415) also said on the investor interaction platform that there are many uncertain factors in the company's business in the United States, but it is still in orderly development. The proportion of the company's business in various regions has been changing dynamically, and there is no specific proportion data disclosure for the time being.
According to the report of securities times · e company, Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.Ltd(002415) said that it had paid attention to the relevant media reports, which mentioned that the possible sanctions imposed by the US government had yet to be verified. Sanctions should be based on reliable evidence and due process. We hope to be treated fairly and fairly Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.Ltd(002415) serves more than 150 countries and regions around the world, including the United States Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.Ltd(002415) joins the global market, operates in strict accordance with the laws and regulations of the country where the business is located, follows the internationally accepted business ethics and business standards, and is committed to science and technology for the good like all leading technology companies in the world.
some organizations said that for the sanctions news of Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.Ltd(002415) first of all, the authenticity is unreliable, and it is speculated that it is highly likely to be hyped by foreign media mid-term elections are approaching, and politicians need to win the attention of voters; Secondly, at the supply chain level, Haikang has been switching and preparing goods for three years, and the degree of localization has been quite high. The previous performance description of the company will be explained many times, so there is no need to worry; Third, at the sales level, the US market has planned to withdraw gradually, and additional sanctions will not have marginal impact; Under the extremely pessimistic assumption, if we completely withdraw from the markets of developed countries in the second half of this year, the impact on the annual growth rate is estimated to be only 5-6pct; Fourth, consider hedging in other countries' markets, which has less impact. Haikang has the highest market share in the world. If other overseas security manufacturers shift their limited production capacity to developed countries, the vacated market will be filled by Haikang. Haikang exchanges the markets of developed countries for the markets of developing countries with higher growth rate.
The agency believes that the stock price trend in the past year has implied very pessimistic expectations: the growth rate was low in the fourth quarter of last year and fell in the first quarter of this year. Now the company exceeds expectations every time. The current situation will not affect the acceleration trend in the first half of 2022. The valuation is at the bottom of history. The first quarter report exceeding expectations proves the growth toughness. The performance description will give a clear and optimistic outlook. It is expected to double-click after the negative expectations are eliminated.
ten billion bottom reading funds smashed at ningwang
Another noteworthy stock is Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) the net profit deducted in the first quarter was 977 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 41.57%. The performance was lower than expected. The Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) bidding opened 10.83% lower and the transaction was 1.36 billion yuan. The stock also fell more than 13% this morning. And drive the gem downward.
In terms of trading volume, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) morning trading volume is very large. Less than an hour after the opening, the transaction amount exceeded the previous trading day, reaching more than 13.8 billion. This means that although tens of billions of funds fled the stock, tens of billions of funds also copied the bottom.
So, is the performance of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) this performance a short-term variable or a long-term variable? How big will the impact be?
First of all, from the perspective of the industry, the prosperity of Xinneng car industry can be said to have no signs of fever abatement. This can be seen from the data of Byd Company Limited(002594) : on May 3, Byd Company Limited(002594) announced in the Hong Kong stock exchange that in April, the company sold 106000 new energy vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 313.22%. From January to April, Byd Company Limited(002594) accumulated sales of 392400 vehicles, with a year-on-year increase of 387.94%. In addition, some media reported that Tesla is also preparing to expand its production in Shanghai.
Secondly, from the perspective of the company's market position, there is no sign of shaking. According to SNE research data, 22q1 Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) global installed capacity has reached 33.3gwh, and the market share has further increased from 32.6% in 2021 to 35.0%, with a solid leading position. According to cabia data, the installed capacity of 22q1 Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power Co.Ltd(600482) battery is 25.51gwh, accounting for 49.8% of the market, and the market share in China remains basically stable.
Third, from the perspective of the company's performance, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) may be a little similar to SF in the first quarter of last year, and the company's performance may stabilize again from the second quarter.
According to Everbright Securities Company Limited(601788) speculation, due to the impact of the epidemic on the logistics delivery of overseas customers, about 10gwh batteries are waiting to be sent overseas for revenue confirmation, resulting in the rapid rise of inventory value. With the recovery of the epidemic, the sales momentum of new energy vehicles remains unchanged, and the company's subsequent sales are expected to maintain sustained growth.
is there a stabilizing opportunity in the market
So, is there an opportunity to stabilize the current market? Analysts believe that in the short term, the most difficult time of the market may have passed.
First, from the perspective of valuation and technology, after this round of decline, the valuation has fallen to around 13 times, belonging to the historical bottom area; Technically, more than 2800 points are also the strong support position of the cycle.
Secondly, from the periphery, the Fed's interest rate decision and balance sheet contraction decision are widely expected by the market. US stocks rose sharply and the US dollar fell. Jiasheng Group believes that the US dollar may at least take back part of the increase in the first four months of this year. The US dollar index may be subject to 103.00-103.80, and the future market may look at the range of 100.00-101.00. In fact, if the strong US dollar ends and the US bond yield drops, it must be a major positive for growth stocks in emerging markets.
Third, internally, China's capital interest rate has been low in recent months. It can be said that the liquidity problem is not big, but confidence is important. Recently, there have been frequent favorable policies and confidence is gradually recovering. As the epidemic situation shows signs of mitigation and the resumption of work and production starts, market confidence will recover with a high probability.
