brief description of disk
On Thursday, A-share shock callback, led by Shenzhen composite index, and the three major stock indexes fell by more than 1%. On the disk, shipbuilding, tourism hotels, precious metals, coal, commercial department stores, automobile services, banking, communication services and other industries led the increase, while traditional Chinese medicine, chemical fertilizer, wind power equipment, energy metals, wine making, photovoltaic equipment, non-metallic materials, games, middle line warehouse building, aerospace and other industries led the decline. In terms of theme stocks, the concept of prefabricated dishes, digital currency, Huawei shengteng, aquaculture, RCS concept, community group purchase, etc led the rise, while the concepts of virtual power plant, salt lake lithium extraction, hair medicine, dexamethasone, e-cigarette, influenza and traditional Chinese medicine were slightly corrected.
message plane
CPI and PPI both weakened in 12 month, and 2021cpi increased by 0.9% year-on-year, less than expected
On January 12, the National Bureau of statistics released the national CPI (consumer price index) and PPI (producer price index) data for December 2021. In December, the year-on-year growth rate of CPI turned downward, and PPI achieved three consecutive declines.
increased by 160%! The sales volume of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Corporation Limited(600617) automobile in China has ranked first in the world for 7 consecutive years!
On January 12, the Ministry of industry and information technology held a press conference to introduce the development of automobile industry in 2021. Relevant principals of the Ministry of industry and information technology and China Automobile Association responded one by one to hot issues such as the trend of China's automobile sales in 2022, whether the lack of "core" of automobiles can be alleviated, and how to deal with the retirement tide of the first batch of power batteries.
quantitative private placement can not provide excess performance compensation when facing the loss of regulatory customers
Quantitative private placement sources disclosed that in December 2021, some custodians received window guidance, and the subsequent private placement managers shall not withdraw the performance remuneration of the excess return in case of customers' losses, and the shares held by customers cannot be in a loss state after the withdrawal is completed.
Jufeng view
Medium term strategy:
Jufeng investment adviser believes that the liquidity at the macro level has gradually improved, and the PMI index has turned upward for two consecutive months, indicating that the medium-term market of A-Shares is expected to be better, and the offensive in spring will be gradually launched.
Pre market judgment: in the early review "A-share short-term adjustment or has ended, and the spring offensive will be officially launched", it is pointed out that U.S. stocks continue to rebound overnight, and the new energy vehicle sector performed well. It is expected that individual stocks in the A-share new energy vehicle industry chain will continue to rebound. In addition, it was reported yesterday that the first centralized procurement bid opening of Chinese patent medicine in China, with an average decrease of 42%, and the procurement scale is nearly 10 billion yuan. It is expected to cool down the continuously popular traditional Chinese medicine stocks and pay attention to controlling positions.
In fact:
In early trading, several major indexes opened high and went low, and then finished in shock. The Chinese medicine sector fell as predicted. Guiyang Xintian Pharmaceutical Co.Ltd(002873) , Zhuzhou Qianjin Pharmaceutical Co.Ltd(600479) , Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co.Ltd(002603) , Kpc Pharmaceuticals Inc(600422) , Dong-E-E-Jiao Co.Ltd(000423) decreased by more than 6%. Not only that, the medical sector also pulled back due to Xi'An International Medical Investment Company Limited(000516) limit and Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group Co.Ltd(603882) sharp decline. The gem index is relatively strong, mainly due to the rebound of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) , but the lithium battery plate has been divided.
In the afternoon, the decline of Kweichow Moutai Co.Ltd(600519) deepened and the Shanghai index continued to decline. Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) fell synchronously. The gem index once fell below 3100 points in the afternoon, which wiped out the gains on Wednesday. Lithium batteries, wind power equipment, wine making, energy metals, fertilizers and other sectors led the decline, falling below early lows. The tourism and hotel sector rose against the market.
From today's all day trend, the market still hasn't got rid of the haze of continuous adjustment after the festival. The super weight is short, and the adjustment pressure of overvalued and high priced stocks is great. Only some small cap theme stocks are active, so investors still need to be cautious.
Investment suggestions:
Recently, the market sector rotates very fast. After a sharp rise, we should evacuate in time and switch to the next potential opportunity point. After new year's day, A-shares continued to callback. It is suggested that the midline bargain hunting pay attention to technology stocks such as intelligent driving and chips with large growth space. In the short term, we can focus on four opportunities: state-owned assets reform, high annual growth, securities companies and oversold new shares.
