market analysis
“It broke my heart again and again”. I was a little optimistic yesterday. Today, my head was pressed down again. How can I get better. This is the current situation. Today, it continues the style of this month and a half. Yesterday, there was just hope of a breakthrough. Today, it came to the lower edge of the decline. If the decline channel continues, it is meaningless to analyze the specific points. When will it end? Let’s see when the big men of the organization no longer smash or can\’t smash.
capital flow
The turnover of the two cities is 1093.5 billion, and it is a large-scale decline. Just like a week ago, it can only be understood as the withdrawal of funds, and there is a high probability that the institutions are running away. Next, the rate will probably shrink. If it falls below trillion, we should be prepared.
In terms of capital style, there is no difference. The institutional players of the first game continue to smash the main lines of last year, while the players of the second game catch a new hot spot every day, crazy pull up the hype, and then continue to play chicken feathers. The mutual game is limited to one week. Don’t copy the bottom of the first game. Can you participate in the second game according to your ability.
Plate hot spots: no tiger in the mountains, the monkey is called the king, the name is the appearance, and the capital subject is the essence of rise and fall
All low positions (retail investors): before the digital currency Winter Olympic Games, the day before yesterday was a baby, yesterday was a prefabricated dish, and today there is another aquatic product, which is endless. In my opinion, there is no difference. It is still a low rebound through various external events. In terms of probability, most of the heat is up to two or three days. Don’t talk about continuity. One day tour is also normal. This randomness is too great. If you catch it, you’ll catch it. It’s no pity if you can’t catch it. Of course, this may be one of the few opportunities for participation at present.
All the once high (Institutions): whether lithium batteries or wind energy storage or new energy vehicles or Baijiu colored, the names of the names are the real cause of their failure. After each rebound, there is a long way to fall. The reason for the decline of the index and the weakness of the market are all because of this. Stay away from these demons.
outlook
Yesterday was really a little optimistic. In all aspects, it can’t be regarded as YY. Today, I continued to be beaten in the face. At the opening, I knew that the rebound was over. Return the ball to me and I want to go home. The most taboo at this stage is high emotion. Only when you calm down can you understand some truth:
1. Believing in the law of large numbers and greater probability is far more useful than believing in the rebound in the falling channel. When you finally caught the reversal for the ninth time (not to mention whether you can really grasp the reversal market), I’m afraid the principal has long been cut back or even burst in the process of participating in the rebound again and again.
2. Is the industry logic not good enough, is the position not low enough, and the company has no problem. Why do you keep falling? It’s the market. The market is weaker than you think.
3. Dust to dust, earth to earth. The essence of A-share is long-term or short-term high-low switching. The so-called main line should also be limited within the time range, and few can pass through. If you understand this truth, you should know that everything now is just a return. New opportunities will come.
