[Jufeng viewpoint]
On Thursday, A-share shock callback, led by Shenzhen composite index, and the three major stock indexes fell by more than 1%. On the disk, shipbuilding, tourism hotels, precious metals, coal, commercial department stores, automobile services, banking, communication services and other industries led the increase, while traditional Chinese medicine, chemical fertilizer, wind power equipment, energy metals, wine making, photovoltaic equipment, non-metallic materials, games, middle line warehouse building, aerospace and other industries led the decline. In terms of theme stocks, the concept of prefabricated dishes, digital currency, Huawei shengteng, aquaculture, RCS concept, community group purchase, etc led the rise, while the concepts of virtual power plant, salt lake lithium extraction, hair medicine, dexamethasone, e-cigarette, influenza and traditional Chinese medicine were slightly corrected.
[technical Kanpan]
The rising market in the first quarter of 19 changed into a medium-term volatile market around the 60 week moving average, entering the third wave of rising market on the weekly line. Now, after the adjustment of the third wave of rising market, the market has formed a medium-term volatile market.
In the short term, driven by the cross year market expectation and northward funds, the rise of the two cities fell behind and accelerated the adjustment recently, but the overall market still fluctuated in a large range from 3400 to 3700.
[hot plate]
The concept of prefabricated dishes rose by 6%: Zhanjiang Guolian Aquatic Products Co.Ltd(300094) , Haixin Foods Co.Ltd(002702) , Springsnow Food Group Co.Ltd(605567) , Tongqinglou Catering Co.Ltd(605108) , Shandong Huifa Foodstuff Co.Ltd(603536) , Fortune Ng Fung Food (Hebei) Co.Ltd(600965) , Shandong Delisi Food Co.Ltd(002330) , China Quanjude(Group) Co.Ltd(002186) daily limit. After new year’s day, the cumulative increase of the plate is as high as 18%. Be careful not to catch up. The recurrence of the epidemic and the approach of the spring festival may be the main factors causing the continuous soaring of the prefabricated vegetable plate in the near future.
The coal sector rose: Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Co.Ltd(000983) , Shanxi Lu’An Environmental Energydev.Co.Ltd(601699) , Shaanxi Coal Industry Company Limited(601225) , Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry And Electricity Power Co.Ltd(000552) , Jinneng Holding Shanxi Coal Industry Co.Ltd(601001) , Huaibei Mining Holdings Co.Ltd(600985) led the increase. The performance of coal stocks increased sharply in 2021. This round of rebound may be related to the performance of the annual report. Small positions can be involved, but the medium and long-term trend has weakened, so we should pay attention to risks.
Tourist hotels rose in the afternoon: Huatian Hotel Group Co.Ltd(000428) , Jinling Hotel Corporation Ltd(601007) , Xi’An Catering Co.Ltd(000721) , China Quanjude(Group) Co.Ltd(002186) , Tongqinglou Catering Co.Ltd(605108) limit, Xi’An Qujiang Cultural Tourism Co.Ltd(600706) , Yunnan Tourism Co.Ltd(002059) , Guangzhou Lingnan Group Holdings Company Limited(000524) rose by more than 6%. The strength of the hotel sector is related to the epidemic situation and prefabricated dishes, so it is not recommended to catch up.
[highlights inventory]
CPI and PPI both weakened in 12 month, and 2021cpi increased by 0.9% year-on-year, less than expected
On January 12, the National Bureau of statistics released the national CPI (consumer price index) and PPI (producer price index) data for December 2021. In December, the year-on-year growth rate of CPI turned downward, and PPI achieved three consecutive declines.
increased by 160%! The sales volume of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Corporation Limited(600617) automobile in China has ranked first in the world for 7 consecutive years!
On January 12, the Ministry of industry and information technology held a press conference to introduce the development of automobile industry in 2021. Relevant principals of the Ministry of industry and information technology and China Automobile Association responded one by one to hot issues such as the trend of China’s automobile sales in 2022, whether the lack of “core” of automobiles can be alleviated, and how to deal with the retirement tide of the first batch of power batteries.
quantitative private placement can not provide excess performance compensation when facing the loss of regulatory customers
Quantitative private placement sources disclosed that in December 2021, some custodians received window guidance, and the subsequent private placement managers shall not withdraw the performance remuneration of the excess return in case of customers’ losses, and the shares held by customers cannot be in a loss state after the withdrawal is completed.
[fund trend]
According to the statistics of Dongcai, as of the closing, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets showed a net outflow of funds. On that day, the net outflow of funds from the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 61.883 billion yuan, today’s super large single net outflow was 31.003 billion yuan, large single net outflow was 30.879 billion yuan, medium single net inflow was 5.655 billion yuan, and small single net inflow was 56.228 billion yuan.
[limit analysis]
Today, the daily limit was 65 and the daily limit was 16;
Today, the number of trading boards in the two cities decreased compared with the previous trading day, and the number of trading boards increased compared with the previous trading day. The daily limit data showed that market sentiment fell today compared with the previous trading day. According to the data of Hithink Royalflush Information Network Co.Ltd(300033) , the trading limits of individual stocks in the two cities are mostly concentrated in the concept of prefabricated dishes, e-commerce and other sectors. The theme heat of the two cities is poor and the profit-making effect is poor.
[viewpoint strategy]
From today’s all day trend, the market still hasn’t got rid of the haze of continuous adjustment after the festival. The super weight is short, and the adjustment pressure of overvalued and high priced stocks is great. Only some small cap theme stocks are active, so investors still need to be cautious.
In the medium term, we maintain the A-share market to be better, and the view that the spring offensive will arrive as scheduled remains unchanged. In the short term, we can also focus on four opportunities: state-owned assets reform, high annual growth, securities companies and oversold new shares.
