Baidu map, together with the Highway Research Institute of the Ministry of transport, the Research Center for comprehensive transportation big data and application technology transportation industry (Zhonglu High Tech), and the hornet’s nest, jointly released the travel forecast report for the May Day holiday in 2022 (hereinafter referred to as the forecast).
The forecast shows that during the festival, the total passenger volume of “public railway, water and air” in China will decrease significantly compared with the same period last year, and the total population migration in China is expected to be lower than that in the same period last year. The overall distribution shows a trend of “centralized going and scattered returning”, or there will be no obvious peak passenger flow. At the same time, the pressure of high-speed is higher than usual, and some high-speed sections in southern provinces and cities are more prone to congestion; In terms of public travel, urban travel and local travel may become a trend, and outdoor travel methods such as camping and self driving will be popular.
national average daily passenger volume decreased significantly year-on-year, and high-speed is relatively under pressure
During the holidays, passenger traffic is relatively “cold”. Baidu map, together with the Highway Science Research Institute of the Ministry of transport, Zhonglu high tech and other units, predicted and analyzed the national passenger transport situation on May Day. The results show that the national total daily passenger traffic before and after the holiday decreased significantly compared with the same period last year, and the overall trend is relatively stable. The distribution trend of daily passenger volume of road, railway and civil aviation passenger transport is basically consistent with the total passenger volume.
While the overall passenger transport trend is stable, some expressways are relatively under pressure. It is expected that there will be a large demand for travel on the first day of the holiday (April 30), and the peak of high-speed congestion will appear between 09:00 and 12:00, which is also the peak of high-speed congestion during the whole May Day holiday; The peak of return Expressway congestion is expected to occur between 15:00 and 18:00 on the penultimate day of the holiday (May 3), and the peak is not obvious.
It is expected that the high-speed sections that are easily congested in and out of the city are mainly distributed near interchanges, overpasses, bridges and tunnels, especially in southern cities. Specifically, the sections of highways prone to congestion on May Day are mainly distributed in Baotou Maoming expressway, Ningwu expressway, Jiangyi expressway, Changsha Shenzhen Expressway Company Limited(600548) , ErGuang expressway, Rongwu expressway, Beijing Shanghai Expressway, Chongqing Ring Expressway, Shanghai Wuhan expressway, Shenhai expressway, etc; The return congested Expressway sections are mainly distributed in Yanluo Expressway (Yancheng section), Ningqi expressway, Chengdu Ya’an expressway, Beijing Lishui expressway, Shijiazhuang Chongqing Expressway, Baotou Maoming expressway, ErGuang expressway, Xuming expressway, Chengnan expressway, Yanluo Expressway (Huai’an section), etc.
local tours will increase and camping tours will become fashionable
Under the influence of the epidemic, local tourism and intra city tourism are more popular. According to the prediction of Baidu map big data, compared with the same period last year, the popularity of local tourism will rise. Urban outdoor amusement parks, open-air parks and suburban natural scenic spots will become popular destinations for local tourism, and local areas are prone to congestion.
On May Day this year, the “camping wind” is expected to remain hot. According to the forecast, the search popularity related to “camping” in various places has increased by more than 100% on average in the past week. Campsites around first tier and new first tier cities are more popular. Guangzhou is expected to become the most popular camping destination. Among them, Guangzhou’s 23 ° 8 north latitude forest camp, beijilu camp (camp 1), Ichi glamping camp, etc. are more popular.
As a relatively flexible way of travel, self driving will become an important choice for citizens. Among the top ten popular self driving routes, classic routes such as 318 Sichuan Tibet line, Hulunbuir grassland line and Hainan Island ring line occupy the top three. Gannan Longnan ring line, Shangri La, Guangdong coast, Yizhao highway, Qinggan Da ring line, Duku highway and Qiandao Lake are also popular with self driving enthusiasts because of their unique natural scenery, which constantly enriches the new business forms of Ancient Road tourism Xinjiang, which has “four seasons in one day and different days in ten miles”, has two popular routes on the list.
During May Day, baidu map will also continue to provide real-time updated online travel big data services for all sectors of society through the “Baidu map transportation travel big data platform”. Local traffic management departments, radio stations and the public can query the congestion and passenger flow status of urban roads, highway networks, passenger transport hubs, scenic spots and shopping centers through this platform. At the same time, the transportation industry management department can apply to log in to the “travel cloud” national passenger transport big data monitoring, analysis and decision support platform to timely understand the distribution law and change trend of national passenger transport volume.
In addition, baidu map’s “epidemic travel information quick report” feature page, heat map and other functions can also provide users with information such as destination and epidemic prevention and control along the way, pedestrian density and so on, provide a variety of travel information references for public travel, reasonably arrange travel and do a good job in epidemic prevention and protection.
Baidu map holiday travel forecast report has been released to the whole society for seven consecutive years since 2016. It is understood that Baidu map traffic travel big data report is a big data product jointly launched by Baidu map and partners such as top universities, scientific research institutes and government agencies in the transportation industry. It is committed to using industry-leading traffic travel big data to reflect and gain insight into urban traffic operation and residents’ travel. It has become an important reference for public travel, media reports and government decisions.
