After the violent rebound, the market divided as scheduled, and the real estate raised the limit tide again, and the main line of steady growth rose again?

The three major indexes were divided throughout the day, the Shanghai index rebounded in shock, and the gem index fell in shock. On the disk, real estate and infrastructure stocks strengthened in the afternoon, and real estate stocks lifted the limit tide. The coal sector was strong throughout the day, with China Coal Energy Company Limited(601898) limit. In terms of decline, the consumer sector fell into adjustment. In addition, heavyweights on the gem collectively adjusted, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) down nearly 5%. Overall, individual stocks fell more and rose less, and more than 3400 stocks in the two cities fell. The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets today was 840.6 billion, a decrease of 77.1 billion compared with the previous trading day. In terms of sectors, coal, real estate, glyphosate, small metals and other sectors led the rise, while education, dairy, digital currency, secondary new shares and other sectors led the decline.

sector

There has been obvious differentiation within the track stocks, and the lithium direction is the strongest. In terms of news, Pilbara, an Australian lithium miner, held the first lithium concentrate auction in 2022 yesterday. The auction price was $5650 / ton, up 140% from last year. The sharp rise of the auction price shows that the lithium concentrate market still maintains a high prosperity situation of short supply. From the valuation side, the lithium sector has continued to adjust since its peak in September 2021, and the wind lithium index has dropped to 44% from the high point. At the same time, due to the rise of lithium price, the profits of Chinese lithium enterprises have increased significantly, the valuation of lithium companies has fallen to a very low level in history, and the PE forecast value of Listed Companies in the lithium industry in 2022 has fallen to 10.5 × (wind unanimously expected), this valuation level is at a low level in all links of the electric vehicle industry chain and all metal sectors. If the market picks up, the prominent undervalued advantage of the lithium sector is expected to make it the first to rebound.

The brewing sector led the gains again today. Despite the poor elasticity of the brewing sector itself, it has become the most stable branch direction under the background of the overall differentiation and consolidation of the consumer sector. With the increase of per capita income and driven by consumption upgrading, the Baijiu industry has gradually gained the ability to cross the cycle. On the other hand, in recent years, Baijiu channel dividends have weakened. Baijiu enterprises no longer rely on a single channel model, but promote the franchise model through e-commerce, group purchase and other channels to establish a new manufacturer relationship. It is the optimization of channels that reduces the overall impact of the epidemic on the Baijiu industry. Therefore, the overall performance of the Baijiu industry in the first quarter has maintained a high growth rate, which has become one of the directions with high certainty. For the follow-up trend of the Baijiu sector, Ping An securities listed three main lines: first, a national high-quality leading liquor enterprise represented by Kweichow Moutai Co.Ltd(600519) ; Second, firmly open the sub high end of the national expansion strategy and pay attention to Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co.Ltd(600809) , Shede Spirits Co.Ltd(600702) ; Third, regional liquor enterprises that fully benefit from the upgrading of consumption in the province pay attention to Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Joint-Stock Co.Ltd(002304) , Jiangsu King’S Luck Brewery Joint-Stock Co.Ltd(603369) , Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co.Ltd(603198) , Anhui Gujing Distillery Company Limited(000596) , etc.

In the afternoon, the real estate and infrastructure directions get a lot of money flowing back in the direction of real estate and infrastructure, and the return of a lot of money in the direction of real estate and infrastructure. The real estate sector is another rising tide, among which Jiangsu Zhongnan Construction Group Co.Ltd(000961) andso on. Real estate is an important starting point for steady economic growth. In addition, recently, various localities have successively issued policies to relax real estate purchase restrictions and housing loans, and the market’s expectation of the reversal of the plight of the real estate industry has further increased. However, it should be noted that the overall correction time is relatively short after the real estate sector experienced a round of collective rise in the early stage, and there are some holding chips to be digested above. Therefore, if the real estate wants to get out of the second wave of market, it still needs to build a new round of high-standard leaders within the sector as soon as possible, so as to further gather market popularity. At present, Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co.Ltd(002244) has reached a new high, and the old leader Cccg Real Estate Corporation Limited(000736) has gradually approached the top after today’s limit rise. If the above two stocks can further open the height of upward space, it will be more helpful to the continuity of the real estate sector.

individual shares

Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co.Ltd(002761) afternoon closure successfully sounded the horn of infrastructure counterattack, further consolidated the leading position of the sector, and became a demon stock potential with multiple waves based on the current market recognition. But Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co.Ltd(002761) at present, the biggest problem still lies in that the early callback from the high level is almost completed in the way of inverted V, and a large amount of hold up selling pressure is accumulated near the front high, which can be resolved only after more volume and energy promotion. Another noteworthy stock is the tianban successfully staged by Shanghai Geoharbour Construction Group Co.Ltd(605598) today. The stock has fluctuated greatly recently and is accompanied by a large number of. After the completion of the ground and sky board today, the overall turnover rate is close to 70%, which does not rule out the possibility of violent washing of the stock through violent fluctuations. The trend of tomorrow is more critical. When the reverse package can be completed by taking advantage of the trend tomorrow, the subsequent upward space is more worth looking forward to after the benign change of hands of chips is completed. On the contrary, once the volume falls again, it shows that the chips of the stock are still unstable and the capital is not confident enough. At that time, we should not have too high expectations for the stock.

aftermarket analysis

As of the close, the Shanghai index rose 0.58%, the Shenzhen composite index fell 0.23% and the gem index fell 1.83%. Northbound funds sold a net 637 million yuan throughout the day, including 459 million yuan for Shanghai Stock connect and 1.095 billion yuan for Shenzhen Stock connect.

Considering that today is the selling pressure day before May Day, the main board can still close slightly after experiencing shock, and the overall trend is not weak. The follow-up focus is on the 3040 line of the strengthening price. When the index can continue the recent rebound and effectively stand on it at one stroke, the probability of completing the medium-term bottom will be greatly improved under the background of further strengthening the overall buying strength of the market. After yesterday’s violent rebound, it is normal for the gem to have a shock consolidation trend today. However, it should be noted that yesterday’s Changhong low 2122 cannot be effectively broken. Once it falls again, all the funds copied yesterday will be covered. At the same time, the market confidence will be hit again. At that time, it is necessary to see more and do less.

In terms of sentiment, it rose 1225, down 2767 from the previous trading day. Excluding ST shares and unopened new shares, the daily limit was 68, 70 less than the previous trading day; 21 fried boards; Gem / Kechuang board stocks rose by 4, 10 less than the previous trading day; There were 8 drop limits, an increase of 7 over the previous trading day.

In terms of emotional indicators, although the disk differentiation is more obvious, with the return of funds to real estate infrastructure, the emotional indicators remained near the active period in the afternoon. When the main line of steady growth can continue to be strong tomorrow, the mood is expected to further improve.

market highlights

1. Ministry of Commerce: working together with relevant member units of the special work class for key foreign-funded projects and relevant parties in Shanghai, it is making every effort to ensure the resumption of work and production of enterprises

Financial Associated Press, April 28 – Gao Feng, a spokesman for the Ministry of Commerce, said that it is understood that among the first 666 enterprises on the “white list” released in Shanghai, 247 are foreign-funded enterprises, involving key industries such as integrated circuit, automobile manufacturing, equipment manufacturing and biomedicine. Key foreign-funded enterprises such as Volkswagen and Tesla have resumed work and production in an orderly manner. Some foreign-funded enterprises are actively applying for inclusion in the list of the second batch of enterprises returning to work and production. At the same time, we also note that the enterprise still faces some specific operational problems in the process of returning to work. We are working with relevant member units of the special class for key foreign-funded projects and relevant parties in Shanghai to strengthen coordination and promotion, and make every effort to ensure the return to work and production of the enterprise.

2. Ministry of Finance: from May 1, 2022 to March 31, 2023, China will implement zero import provisional tax rate on coal

Financial Associated Press, April 28 – the Ministry of Finance announced that in order to strengthen the guarantee of energy supply and promote high-quality development, the Tariff Commission of the State Council recently announced that the provisional import tax rate of zero will be implemented for all coal from May 1, 2022 to March 31, 2023.

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