Yuanda: the choice of capital stock game needs to be made

today’s disk

Today, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock indexes showed a shock adjustment pattern as a whole. The three major indexes opened low in the morning and maintained a weak shock as a whole. In the afternoon, the Shanghai index rebounded slightly and turned red for a time, but finally adjusted the closing, while the gem index and Shenzhen Component Index were more weak. They maintained an underwater shock all day and finally closed at the negative line. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.83%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.60% and the gem index fell 2.25%.

In terms of industry sectors, unified market, logistics industry, coal industry, express concept, basic metals, scarce resources, industrial machine tools, Import Expo and other sectors led the increase; The NFT concept, horse racing concept, digital currency, engineering consulting services, engineering construction, cloud games, East digital West computing, Hongmeng concept and other sectors led the decline. In terms of the rise and fall of individual stocks, the number of gainers is only more than 800, and the number of losers is more than 3800, which has a very poor profit-making effect. As of the closing, the two cities had a net outflow of nearly 30 billion main funds, a net sale of nearly 500 million funds from the north, and a market turnover of 0.87 trillion.

current index position analysis

Although today’s index shows an adjustment state, it is also basically in line with our recent analysis. The overall index is still in the stage of shock bottoming, and the short-term rebound has not changed the overall trend. This is also the reason why we remind you not to increase positions blindly. However, from today’s market performance, in sharp contrast to the late dive of the index, the late inflow of funds going north accelerated, and its selling pace was also slowing down, which also formed a certain positive signal; From the perspective of the relationship between volume and price, today’s volume contraction adjustment belongs to a benign trend. After yesterday’s rebound, some profit taking is closed in the short term. The adjustment of position here can be treated normally, and more power can be accumulated after the consolidation of short-term shocks.

Therefore, it is suggested that we should continue to maintain a cautious and optimistic attitude, actively pay attention to the changes of domestic and foreign investment, continue to control positions and wait for the stabilization signal in the later stage.

coping strategies and focus

The phased market is still a structural market with repeated bottom grinding of the index and game of capital stock, and the value blue chip is slightly better in style. In terms of investment allocation, we will continue to focus on steady growth, performance and policy event driven mining. (1) The industrial chain of real estate, new and old infrastructure under the underpinning economy of steady growth, as well as medicine and medical care to protect steady growth; (2) Pay attention to the price rise and dilemma reversal under the performance window, such as coal and potash fertilizer; (3) Logistics market driven by intensive policies.

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