After the National Bureau of statistics released the population data of 2021, local data have been released one after another.
The first financial reporter combed the public data and found that up to now, 28 provinces have released the population data of 2021. According to the published data, Guangdong has a permanent resident population of 126.84 million; Zhejiang's population increased by 720000, ranking first, and the population of 15 provinces decreased. In terms of birth population, Guangdong has become the largest fertility province for four consecutive years, and Henan has the second largest birth population in China. Only 2 provinces have a birth rate of more than 1% (i.e. 10 per 1000), and 10 provinces have a natural negative population growth.
Guangdong's total population ranks first for 15 consecutive years
The total population of Guangdong Province has exceeded that of Henan Province for the first time in China since 2021, with a total population of 126840000. According to the data, the total population of Guangdong surpassed that of Japan for the first time in 2021.
In terms of incremental changes, Guangdong's population increased by Shanghai Pudong Development Bank Co.Ltd(600000) in 2021, ranking second only to Zhejiang among all provinces. However, unlike Zhejiang, where the incremental population is mainly inflow from outside the province, Guangdong has a large incremental population, mainly due to the high birth rate, large birth population and high natural population growth rate.
According to the data, the birth rate in Guangdong last year was 9.35 ‰, ranking fifth among the 24 provinces that have published birth data; The natural population growth rate is as high as 4.52 ‰, second only to Guizhou. Last year, Guangdong had a birth population of 1183100, and continued to rank as the largest fertility province.
Peng Peng, executive chairman of Guangdong Institute of system reform, analyzed China business and economics that Guangdong has a large birth population due to several factors: first, Chaoshan and other places are influenced by traditional clan culture and have a high willingness to give birth; Secondly, Guangdong has a large population base, and the total birth population is also large in proportion; Third, Guangdong has a large inflow population, and the inflow population is mainly young and middle-aged. In recent years, with the industrial transformation and upgrading, the citizenization of the migrant population has increased, and the proportion of these people giving birth in Guangdong is also increasing.
Peng Peng analyzed that such a huge population and such a large economic volume mean that Guangdong itself is a very large consumer market.
Outside Guangdong, Shandong has a permanent resident population of 1016999 million, ranking second; Henan has a permanent resident population of 98.83 million, ranking thirdP align = "center" population data of 28 provinces in 2021 (population unit: 10000) p align = "center" style = "text align: Center;" Data source: the first financial reporter sorted out according to local statistical bulletins and public data
15 provinces have reduced the population, and only 2 provinces have a birth rate of more than 1%
From the change of resident population in 2021, the population of 13 of the 28 provinces with published data increased. Among them, Zhejiang, Guangdong, Hubei, Jiangsu and Fujian ranked among the top five, with a total population of more than 200000 in these five provinces. Among the five provinces, Hubei has a large population increase due to the return of many people after the full economic recovery in 2021. The other four provinces are located in the southeast coast, namely Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu and Fujian. The total net population increase of these four provinces reached 1.861 million. Among them, the number of people in Zhejiang increased by 720000, and the population increment ranked first in China. The increment of Guangdong is Shanghai Pudong Development Bank Co.Ltd(600000) , and the increment of Jiangsu and Fujian are 281000 and 260000 respectively.
Among the 28 provinces, the permanent resident population of 15 provinces decreased, including 580000 in Henan, 460000 in Heilongjiang and 320000 in Yunnan.
Dong Yuzheng, a population expert and President of Guangdong Population Development Research Institute, analyzed the first finance and economics. Although the total population has quickly reached the warning line of negative growth, from the overall situation, the total population in the Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta and other places still has slow growth.
Peng Peng said that at present, the flow between regions is still continuing, showing a trend of cross provincial flow and centralized parallel within provinces. Among them, within the province, the population of prefecture and city is gathering to the central city and advantageous areas. Taking Guangdong as an example, although Shantou in eastern Guangdong and Zhanjiang in western Guangdong build provincial sub central cities, which can gather part of the population, the current population in eastern and northwestern Guangdong is still gathering in core cities such as the Pearl River Delta and Guangzhou Shenzhen, and the trend has not changed, which also reflects the development of urbanization.
In terms of birth population, 24 of the 28 provinces have published birth population data, including 4 provinces with a birth population of more than 500000 in 2021, and Guangdong has become the only province with a birth population of more than 1 million. Henan, the first largest household registered residence, ranks second in the 3 consecutive year, second only to Guangdong. In addition, the birth population of Henan was 793000 in 2021, which is also the birth population of Henan is less than 1 million for two consecutive years.
In terms of birth rate, only two provinces have a birth rate of more than 1%, that is, 10 per 1000, namely Guizhou and Qinghai. In addition, Guangxi, Gansu, Guangdong and Yunnan account for more than nine thousandths; In addition, Jiangxi, Henan and Fujian account for more than eight thousandths. In addition, in Shaanxi, the birth rate in 10 provinces is higher than the national average of 7.52 ‰.
Most of these provinces with high birth rate are located in the central and western regions, especially some western provinces. At present, the economy is still underdeveloped and the urbanization rate is low. In addition, Guangdong and Fujian, two developed provinces along the southeast coast, have a high urbanization rate. Affected by traditional clan culture and other factors, they have a high willingness to bear children.
The birth rate in 14 provinces is lower than the national average, of which the birth rate in Heilongjiang is only 3.59 ‰. There are 10 provinces with negative natural population growth rate, mainly distributed in Northeast China, North China, Yangtze River Delta and central China.
