Among the 100 cities in China, house prices fell and the number of cities increased.
According to the data of China Index Research Institute, in December 2021, the average prices of new houses and second-hand houses in 100 cities in China fell month on month, and the number of falling cities increased. Among them, the average price of second-hand houses decreased more. Among the top ten cities, the average price of second-hand houses in Shenzhen decreased the most. In addition, the average price of new houses in Shenyang, Changchun, Harbin and other provincial capitals is less than 10000 yuan per square meter.
Industry insiders believe that affected by the superposition of policies such as “second-hand housing transaction reference price”, the second-hand housing market in Shenzhen continues to be depressed and the market has entered the stage of in-depth adjustment. Looking forward to 2022, while adhering to the positioning of “housing, housing and non speculation” and realizing the goal of “three stabilities”, local governments are expected to further implement the “implementation of policies for cities”, and some cities with too fast market cooling may speed up the introduction of supporting policies.
among the 100 cities, house prices fell and the number of cities increased
The prices of new houses and second-hand houses in Baicheng continued to fall.
According to the data of China Index Research Institute, in December 2021, the average price of new houses in 100 cities across the country was 16200 yuan / m2, down 0.02% month on month, 0.02 percentage points lower than that in November; The average price of second-hand houses was 16000 yuan / m2, down 0.09% month on month, an increase of 0.01 percentage points over November.
From the number of cities, the number of cities with falling house prices increased. In terms of new houses, 39 cities rose month on month, 58 cities fell month on month, three cities were the same as last month, and the number of declining cities increased by 5 compared with November. In terms of second-hand housing, 27 cities rose month on month, 71 cities fell month on month, 2 cities were the same as last month, and the number of declining cities increased by 3 compared with November.
China Index Research Institute pointed out that in terms of new house prices, except for the slight rise in the Pearl River Delta, house prices in other major urban agglomerations fell month on month. Specifically, Xuzhou, Yangzhou and Changsha rose 0.79%, 0.76% and 0.51% month on month respectively; Langfang fell significantly month on month, 0.76%; Taiyuan and Sanya both fell 0.69% month on month.
In terms of second-hand housing prices, driven by Kunshan, Hangzhou and other cities, the market in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration has recovered, and the month on month ratio has changed from decline to rise, while other major urban agglomerations continue to decline. Specifically, Quanzhou, Kunshan and other six cities increased by more than 0.5% month on month, of which Quanzhou was the highest, 0.82%; Nantong and Xiangtan fell by more than 1.0% month on month, and 17 cities such as Baoding and Tangshan fell by 0.5% (inclusive) – 1.0%.
second hand house prices in Shenzhen fell the most month on month
according to the data of China Index Research Institute, in December 2021, the average price of new houses in the top ten cities was 29300 yuan / m2, down 0.04% month on month, 0.03 percentage points lower than that in November; The average price of second-hand houses was 40000 yuan / m2, up 0.09% month on month, from down to up compared with November.
Specifically, in terms of new houses, the average prices in Guangzhou and Wuhan increased by 0.38% and 0.16% month on month respectively; Chongqing (main urban area), Tianjin, Shenzhen and Nanjing all increased by 0.1% (inclusive) month on month, of which Shenzhen and Nanjing increased the least, both by 0.05%. Among the declining cities, Shanghai fell 0.17% month on month; Chengdu, Hangzhou and Beijing all fell within 0.1%, of which Beijing fell 0.03% month on month, with the smallest decline.
In terms of second-hand housing, Hangzhou increased the most, with a month on month increase of 0.57%; Followed by Nanjing, up 0.49% month on month; Guangzhou, Beijing and Shanghai rose by 0.1% – 0.3% month on month. Among the cities that fell, Shenzhen fell the most, down 0.38% month on month; Followed by Chengdu, down 0.32% month on month; Tianjin, Wuhan and Chongqing (main urban areas) fell by less than 0.1% month on month.
For the reason for the largest decline in second-hand house prices in Shenzhen, the China Index Research Institute said in an interview with the securities times that affected by the superposition of policies such as the “reference price for second-hand house transactions”, the second-hand house market in Shenzhen continued to be depressed and the market entered the stage of in-depth adjustment. In 2021, the trading volume of second-hand houses in Shenzhen continued to decline in all months except for a brief rebound in November, indicating that buyers lack confidence in entering the market, the market wait-and-see mood is still heavy, and there is great pressure for further downward price adjustment. In December, the price of second-hand houses in Shenzhen fell further month on month.
the average price in the capital city of Northeast China is less than 10000 / Ping
From the average price of new houses in the four first tier cities, in December 2021, it was 44300 yuan / m2 in Beijing, 51500 yuan / m2 in Shanghai, 24300 yuan / m2 in Guangzhou and 54200 yuan / m2 in Shenzhen.
From the average price of second-hand houses in the four first tier cities, in December 2021, it was 73400 yuan / m2 in Beijing, 62300 yuan / m2 in Shanghai, 38500 yuan / m2 in Guangzhou and 75200 yuan / m2 in Shenzhen.
from the perspective of 100 cities in China, in December 2021, there were 50 new houses with an average price of less than 10000 yuan per square meter, including several provincial capital cities, such as Changsha 9314 yuan / square meter, Hohhot 8660 yuan / square meter, Lanzhou 9183 yuan / square meter and Urumqi 8199 yuan / square meter, especially the provincial capital cities in the three northeastern provinces, where, It is 9660 yuan / m2 in Harbin, 9218 yuan / m2 in Changchun and 9998 yuan / m2 in Shenyang.
Previously, E-House Real Estate Research Institute analyzed the real estate market of 31 provinces in China in the first 11 months of 2021. A number of real estate related indicators show that Heilongjiang and Jilin are generally facing great downward pressure. Among them, the house price in Heilongjiang has the largest decline of 10%; House prices in Jilin fell by 7%, ranking second with Qinghai.
In order to boost market confidence, Jilin recently put forward house purchase support policies at the provincial level. On December 22, 2021, the official website of Jilin Provincial Development and Reform Commission released the record of the press conference of the provincial economic work conference. In the actual record, Li Guoqiang, director of Jilin Provincial Development and Reform Commission, said that next year, we should promote the operation of the real estate market to be more stable, including encouraging and guiding cities and counties to carry out house purchase subsidies and loan interest discounts, and supporting farmers to buy houses in cities; Changchun has implemented the resettlement fee for key college graduates and the house purchase subsidy policy for national leading talents, raised the house purchase subsidy standard for farmers entering the city, and extended the validity period of relevant support policies to June 30, 2022.
In addition, Harbin and Shenyang have also issued house purchase support policies. Among them, Harbin grants purchase subsidies to qualified talents for purchasing the first house, with a maximum of 100000 yuan; Increase the scope of provident fund and relax the age limit of second-hand housing provident fund loans to 30 years. Shenyang will increase the loan amount of the first set of housing provident fund for talents and give subsidies for the purchase of the first set of commercial housing talents.
The China Index Research Institute believes that the short-term real estate market regulation policy may have bottomed out. In 2022, under the positioning of “housing, housing and non speculation” and the goal of “three stability”, local governments are expected to further implement the “urban implementation policy”, and some cities with too fast market cooling may speed up the introduction of support policies.
(brokerage China)
