The financial Associated Press reported on March 15 that the market fluctuated and fell all day today, with the Shanghai index falling 4.95% and falling 3100 points. On the sector, only one sector of electronic ID card rose. In addition, all other sectors fell, but there was also a partially active market within the concept of anti epidemic. In terms of individual stocks, more than 4400 stocks in the two cities fell, less than 300 stocks rose, and more than 100 stocks fell by the limit.
sector
In addition to the rise of the concept of electronic ID card against the trend, there is also a partially active market within the concept of anti epidemic, which is the case today and yesterday.
The concept of electronic ID card rose against the trend for two consecutive days, with a cumulative rise of more than 6%. GEM stocks Hangzhou Everfine Photo-E-Info Co.Ltd(300306) 2 connected board, Linewell Software Co.Ltd(603636) 3 connected board, Routon Electronic Co.Ltd(600355) 2 connected board.
From the perspective of theme speculation, the concept of electronic ID card is a composite theme, with both policy support and the breadth closely related to people's life. Therefore, the concept of electronic ID card goes out of the sustainable market in the market differences.
From the perspective of market prosperity, some institutions believe that with the strong support of policies, the construction of China's digital government has entered a period of rapid growth in recent years. With the continuous acceleration of the digital process, the overall market scale will continue to increase. It is expected that the market scale of China's digital government industry will reach 925.5 billion yuan by 2025.
In the concept of anti epidemic, covid-19 drug concept is stronger than covid-19 detection concept. In covid-19 drug concept, 6 Shanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co.Ltd(000561) 0 days increased by more than 125%, Ningbo Menovo Pharmaceutical Co.Ltd(603538) 6 days 5 sectors, Pku Healthcare Corp.Ltd(000788) 5 sectors, Aurisco Pharmaceutical Co.Ltd(605116) 2 sectors, Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical Co.Ltd(300436) , Hybio Pharmaceutical Co.Ltd(300199) 11%; In the covid-19 testing concept, North Chemical Industries Co.Ltd(002246) 3 Lianban, GEM stocks Shanghai Labway Clinical Laboratory Co.Ltd(301060) 4 tian3 board, and youningwei rose by more than 15%.
From the main line and short-term rhythm, today's anti epidemic concept itself has repair needs. The concept of anti epidemic, as the main line of the recent brand, often has funds to try to undertake the game rebound after the main rise differences. The concept of covid-19 medicine also turned red in the morning, but the index continued to decline in the afternoon, and the concept of anti epidemic is difficult to survive.
From the perspective of market prosperity, Central China Securities Co.Ltd(601375) suggested that "vaccine + covid-19 drug" is still the main means of anti epidemic in the future, and continue to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the field of vaccine and covid-19 drug. The biological products industry is booming, and the upstream manufacturing industry chain has ushered in a golden development opportunity. In the medium and long term, with the gradual development of the product capacity of Chinese enterprises, we continue to deepen the product capacity of equipment and consumables, which is expected to breed platform enterprises. In the short and medium term, the new demand is expected to maintain the order increment within 2-3 years.
individual shares
On Friday, the central bank released the credit data for February, which showed that the scale of new credit and new social financing was not optimistic. At that time, the expectation of interest rate reduction in the market was rising, but this morning, the interest rate was not lowered and continued to remain at 2.85%. This may mean that the expectation of the central bank's "interest rate cut" in this round has failed, which may have a great impact on the infrastructure and real estate sectors of "stable growth". Today, water conservancy, underground pipe network, architectural decoration, real estate and other sectors fell sharply, but Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co.Ltd(002761) bucked the trend and rose the limit.
In fact, recently, Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co.Ltd(002761) continuously deviated from the index. Yesterday, the control fund controlled the deviation of the closing price increase of Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co.Ltd(002761) 3 trading days to less than 20%, so there was no special stop risk. Otherwise, if Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co.Ltd(002761) triggered another rise change, the trading would be suspended for the second time. Today is the 11th trading day after the Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co.Ltd(002761) first special stop. Even if the trading rate of the stock rises, it will break away from the restriction of abnormal trading suspension.
Driven by Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co.Ltd(002761) accelerating the daily limit this morning, there are two directions of contrarian activity: 1) the leading stock Mcc Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment Co.Ltd(000815) of "counting East and counting West" once rebounded from the daily limit to the red market, and closed up 6.81%; 2) Zhejiang stocks staged a trading tide, with 8 stocks including Hangzhou Landscape Architecture Design Institute Co.Ltd(300649) , Ningbo Construction Co.Ltd(601789) , etc. trading.
However, it is worth reminding that because Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co.Ltd(002761) continuously deviates from the index, the stock will make up the decline sooner or later, or beware of similar recent Jinzhou Jixiang Molybdenum Co.Ltd(603399) Jinzhou Jixiang Molybdenum Co.Ltd(603399) when the index fell, it rose sharply against the trend, but fell back to the limit when the index recovered and repaired.
aftermarket analysis
In terms of index, as of the close, the Shanghai index fell 4.95%, the Shenzhen composite index fell 4.36% and the gem index fell 2.55%. The net sales of northbound funds throughout the day were 16.024 billion yuan, exceeding 10 billion yuan for two consecutive days, including 8.864 billion yuan for Shanghai Stock connect and 7.161 billion yuan for Shenzhen Stock connect.
The market fluctuated lower throughout the day and continued to fall back to the end. Under the inertia of killing, the index may fall tomorrow. In just nine trading days from March 3 to today, the Shanghai index has fallen more than 420 points. Looking back on history, it launched a sustained rebound after a sharp decline of 525 points in the first round of 2018. As there is no systemic risk in A-Shares this year, the short-term decline may be less than 525 points. In short, the lower the index, the less panic it should be, but it may not be in a hurry to copy the bottom, because the bottom will be a long-term shock process.
In terms of sentiment, it rose 246, down 189 from the previous trading day. Excluding ST shares and unopened new shares, the daily limit was 28, 13 less than the previous trading day; 21 fried boards, 4 less than the previous trading day; Gem / Kechuang board stocks rose by 4 limits, an increase of 1 over the previous trading day; There were 79 drop limits, an increase of 63 over the previous trading day.
Due to the instability of the market, many indicators have lost their reference effect. Usually, after the emotional indicators fall below the freezing point, the funds may try to bargain at the bottom to rebound from the freezing point, but now the index has fallen sharply, and the emotional indicators have repeatedly fallen below the freezing point. In short, when the index does not stabilize, it may be difficult for market sentiment to have a big performance.
market highlights
1. The closing price of China's commodity futures fell generally and Lu fell more than 9%
On March 15, China's commodity futures closed down generally, with Lu down more than 9%, asphalt and fuel oil down more than 8%, palm oil and LPG down more than 6%, apple and coking coal down more than 5%, iron ore and coke down more than 4%, glass and PVC down more than 3%, manganese silicon and Bank of Shanghai down more than 2%, threads and pigs down slightly; Only a few varieties such as Shanghai nickel and SS rose.
2. National Bureau of Statistics: achieving 5.5% economic growth is based and conditional
On March 15, Fu Linghui, spokesman of the National Bureau of statistics, pointed out at a press conference on the 15th that this year's government work report clearly stated that the annual growth target is about 5.5%. First of all, 5.5% should be said to be a not low growth rate. Last year, China's economic scale reached 114 trillion yuan, ranking second in the world. Last year's economic growth was equivalent to the level of the annual economic aggregate of a moderately developed country. From the perspective of the world's major economies, the growth rate of 5.5% is also a not low growth rate; Historically, when other countries are at a similar stage of development in China, 5.5% is also a high growth rate. Judging from the conditions we are now facing, the growth rate of 5.5% is not low, but the realization of economic growth of 5.5% is also based and conditional. China's economy continues to recover, and its development is characterized by strong resilience, great potential and sufficient power. In the past two years, it has been impacted by the epidemic, and China's economic development still maintains a leading position in the world.
