In the past 2021, although the real estate industry as a whole went down, Nanjing real estate market came out of an independent market.
The reporter of the daily economic news learned from the official website of Nanjing online real estate (sponsored by Nanjing real estate market trading center) that as of December 30, 2021, 107000 new houses had been sold in Nanjing in the whole year, with four consecutive increases since 2017. At the same time, the inventory of new houses in Nanjing also hit a record high of 74000 sets.
It is worth noting that Jiangning and Jiangbei (including Pukou and Liuhe) plates (Liangjiang plate) are still the highest sales volume and the largest supply area of new houses in Nanjing real estate market. In 2021, the sales volume reached 21994 sets and 37568 sets respectively, accounting for more than 50%.
In addition, the performance of all sectors of Nanjing real estate market in 2021 was uneven. For example, the real estate of some sectors such as southwest China continued to sell well, while the sales of most other sectors were relatively flat, and the opening de conversion rate of many real estate was only 30%.
So, what will the real estate prices in the hot areas of Nanjing show in the future? Which properties will outperform the national house price increase in the future? Each AI room big data selects the representative buildings of two popular plates in Nanjing for comprehensive analysis from 11 dimensions. Data source: Nanjing online real estate official website (as of December 30, 2021)
Jianye District is located in Hexi new urban area of Nanjing. It is a modern new urban area built in recent 20 years, and its house price is also in the forefront of all districts in Nanjing.
Taking the Haiyue everything project in Jianye District as an example, the average price of 184 Suites added last month was 63711 yuan / m2, which was sold out on December 24, 2021. After comprehensive evaluation by AI product room applet, it is concluded that the current valuation reference price of the real estate is 55985 yuan / m2.
From the perspective of educational facilities, Haiyue has 7 kindergartens with a straight-line distance of 1km, of which the nearest kindergarten is only 445M. Compared with other districts in Jianye District, the kindergarten allocation score is better than 31% of residential projects; There are 4 primary schools around the project, which are better than the residential projects in Jianye District by 23%.
In terms of medical facilities, there are 10 large and small medical institutions around Haiyue everything, including the first hospital of Nanjing, the second children’s Hospital of Jiangsu Province and the Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University of traditional Chinese medicine, which is better than 49% of the residential projects in Jianye District.
Commercial facilities are also excellent. There are 10 shopping places around Haiyue everything, Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks Co.Ltd(600280) , Lotte world and Liancheng commercial street are within walking range, scoring better than 52% of the residential projects in Jianye District, with good shopping comfort.
In addition, there are 2 subway stations and 26 bus stations 1km around Haiyue. The average speed of main roads in the morning and evening peak is 18. 08 km / h, better than 51% of residential projects in Jianye District.
According to the prediction of AI Pinfang applet, in the next five years, the house price of Haiyue everything is expected to outperform the national average house price increase, reaching 71431 yuan / m2. However, it is worth noting that due to the high overall increase in house prices in Jianye District, even if the predicted price of Haiyue everything in the next five years is more than 12% higher than the current sales price, it still lags behind 86% of the residential areas in Jianye District.
Hexi jinmaofu project, also located in Jianye District, is currently sold on the third-party platform at a price of 55600 yuan / m2. According to the evaluation of 11 indicators such as the weekly population structure, education and medical facilities of the project through the AI product room applet, the reference price of the project is 49643 yuan / m2.
In the next five years, the price of Jinmao Mansion in Hexi is expected to reach 63692 yuan / m2, but it will still beat the average increase of house prices in Jianye District, but higher than 14% of the residential areas in this district.
At present, the average sales price of the North Bund water city · Binjiang elegant garden project in Pukou District, another popular area in Nanjing, is 21525 yuan / m2. According to the comprehensive evaluation of AI Pinfang applet, the reference valuation price is 20811 yuan / m2, but the house price increase in the next five years is higher than that of Haiyue.
Compared with Haiyue everything and Hexi jinmaofu project, the medical and educational facilities around the North Bund Shuicheng Binjiang elegant garden project are slightly weak. Although there are 6 kindergartens within 1km around, there is only one primary school, namely Nanjing Langya Road Primary School Liuzhou East Road Branch (North Campus).
In terms of medical facilities, there are 4 large and small medical institutions and 4 large and small shopping places around the North Bund water city · Binjiang elegant garden. Among them, the unit price of catering consumers is 40 yuan, and the consumption grade index of national comparison is 3. 1 (3.0 represents the optimal value of Tier 3 cities), which is equivalent to the level between Tier 3 and Tier 4 cities. In Pukou District, more than 31% of residential projects belong to medium-grade consumption areas compared with the same city.
In terms of transportation facilities, there are 1 subway station (Puzhou Road subway station) and 19 bus stations within 1km around the project, which is better than 45% of the residential projects in the same area.
According to the AI product room applet, the predicted price of North Bund water city · Binjiang elegant garden in the next five years is 25734 yuan / m2, an increase of about 19.6% compared with the current sales price, which is in the top 60% level in Pukou District and outperforms 94% of districts and counties in China.
Taking the Zhongjian xiyuanfu project in Pukou District as an example, the current average sales price of the project is about 27500 yuan / m2 on the third-party platform. According to the comprehensive evaluation of AI product room applet, the reference valuation price of CSCEC xiyuanfu project is 25398 yuan / m2.
In the next five years, the price of CSCEC xiyuanfu project is expected to reach 32754 yuan / m2, which will be lower than the average increase of house prices in Pukou District, but higher than 18% of the residential areas in this district.
Through the multi-dimensional analysis and comparison of representative real estate projects in Nanjing Jianye and Pukou, it can be found that Pukou District is not as good as Jianye District in terms of transportation, education and commercial supporting facilities. However, with the continuous improvement of municipal construction and supporting facilities, Pukou District has more room for house price appreciation potential in the future.
(Daily Economic News)
