The total transaction volume of A-Shares in 2021 set a new historical record. Concepts such as “carbon neutralization”, “cycle stock”, “Ning combination” and “meta universe” brush the screen. The establishment of the Beijing stock exchange will further stimulate the vitality of the capital market. Looking forward to 2022, Chinese and foreign institutions generally believe that A-Shares are more attractive, securities times. Databao carefully selected the top 20 potential stocks in 2022.
Looking at the global capital market in 2021, the S & P 500 and Nasdaq index both increased by more than 20% annually. The A-share market was calm, and the Shanghai index rose by less than 5% a year.
The dull index does not mean that the profit-making effect of the A-share market is poor. According to the statistics of databao, in 2021, the annual growth of more than 40% of industries exceeded 10%, and the growth of cyclical industries such as coal and chemical industry exceeded 35%; Excluding new shares, the number of doubled shares exceeded 2020, up to 323.
In terms of valuation, the latest rolling P / E ratio of Shanghai stock index is less than 15 times. Compared with overseas markets, this valuation level is relatively low and the investment value is obvious.
internationalization process accelerated
Since QFII, interconnection, Shanghai Luntong and other foreign investment channels have been opened one after another, and A-Shares have been included in MSCI, FTSE Russell and other important international indexes, the internationalization process of A-Shares has further accelerated.
According to the statistics of data treasure, by the end of the third quarter of 2021, the total market value of domestic stock assets held by foreign investors entering the A-share market through QFII and land stock connect channels was close to 3 trillion yuan, an increase of 14.19% over the end of 2020. The market value of foreign positions accounted for 4.06% of the total market value of a shares, surpassing venture capital and private equity funds, an increase of 0.35 percentage points over the end of 2020.
From the perspective of foreign capital composition, the latest position market value of northbound capital has exceeded 2.7 trillion yuan, showing a net inflow for 15 consecutive months. The net inflow reached a new record in 2021, exceeding 430 billion yuan. The market value of QFII positions reached RMB 281.408 billion, an increase of 8.15% over the end of 2020.
institutions are generally optimistic about the Chinese market in 2022
Since the normalization of trillion turnover, the activity of the A-share market has increased significantly, and the annual turnover has reached a record high. Chinese foreign institutions said that global investors’ allocation of Chinese assets is low. in 2022, it is still generally optimistic about the Chinese market. It is expected that China’s weight in global and emerging market indexes will rise in the next few years, promoting overall emerging market investors to expand the allocation of A-share stocks.
20 potential stocks released in 2022
Databao comprehensively ranks the above multi-dimensional indicators such as investment logic, institutional rating, institutional forecast, financial indicators and policy trends. The statistical standards include but are not limited to the following aspects: individual stocks are leaders in subdivided fields and are located in a high-quality track with national strategic tendency, and the estimated value is relatively low in the industry; The return on net assets from 2018 to 2020, the proportion of cash dividends from 2019 to 2020, the growth of net profit attributable to the parent from 2021 to 2023, the number of “buy” rating recommendation agencies, and the proportion of reverse indicator goodwill in total assets.
after comprehensive ranking, the top 20 potential stocks will be released in 2022, distributed in 11 industries, with a market value of more than 50 billion yuan, and the selected stocks in mechanical equipment, communication and electrical equipment industries will pile up. In terms of market performance, the average increase of the top 20 potential stocks in 2021 was more than 20%, outperforming the Shanghai stock index by more than 15 percentage points in the same period. In terms of individual stocks, 60% increased by more than 10% in 2021, Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd(300627) and Starpower Semiconductor Ltd(603290) were relatively ahead, and the two stocks increased by more than 55% in 2021.
The top 20 potential stocks belong to the high-quality leader of the subdivision track and have strong resistance to falling. The average pullback of the latest price is less than 30% compared with the highest price since 2020, and the pullback of five stocks is less than 15%, including Quectel Wireless Solutions Co.Ltd(603236) , Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass Co.Ltd(300395) .
the return on investment is nearly twice the overall level of A-Shares
Focusing on high-quality development and pursuing steady growth, the outstanding performance of the top 20 potential stocks has a certain relationship with their stable investment return and sustained high growth performance.
From 2018 to 2020, the return on net assets (median) of potential shares exceeded the overall level of a shares. In 2020 affected by the epidemic, the median return on net assets of the top 20 potential stocks was 17.5%, nearly twice the overall level of A-Shares (less than 10%). Among potential stocks, Jafron Biomedical Co.Ltd(300529) , Wuxi Shangji Automation Co.Ltd(603185) and other six stocks have a return on net assets of more than 20% in 2020.
The future performance of potential stocks is expected to grow. The institutions unanimously predict that from 2021 to 2023, the median increase of net profit of the top 20 potential stocks will exceed 30%, nearly 10 percentage points higher than all a shares, of which the median increase of net profit in 2021 will exceed 50%, and the net profit of individual stocks such as Beijing Huafeng Test & Control Technology Co.Ltd(688200) , Xi’An Triangle Defense Co.Ltd(300775) may be doubled.
6 shares with cash dividends exceeding 30% for 3 consecutive years
From 2018 to 2020, the accumulated dividends of the top 20 potential stocks were 8.9 billion yuan. The accumulated dividends of four stocks, including Wuxi Apptec Co.Ltd(603259) , Aier Eye Hospital Group Co.Ltd(300015) , Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co.Ltd(300124) and Jafron Biomedical Co.Ltd(300529) , exceeded 1 billion yuan in the past three years, of which Wuxi Apptec Co.Ltd(603259) exceeded 2.1 billion yuan.
From the perspective of cash dividend ratio, the average dividend ratio of the top 20 potential stocks from 2018 to 2020 exceeded 35%. The cash dividend ratio of 6 individual stocks exceeded 30% for three consecutive years, among which Jafron Biomedical Co.Ltd(300529) shareholders had the strongest sense of return, exceeding 60% for three consecutive years; The proportion of cash dividends of individual stocks such as Bafang Electric( Suzhou) Co.Ltd(603489) , Three’S Company Media Group Co.Ltd(605168) , Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co.Ltd(688186) in 2020 exceeded 45%.
9-share institutions have high attention
Among the latest ratings of securities companies, the top 20 potential stocks are mainly rated as “buy” and “overweight”. Since last year, 4023 institutions have been investigated, Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co.Ltd(300124) , Beijing Huafeng Test & Control Technology Co.Ltd(688200) and more than 1000 institutions have been investigated. 15 stocks were rated “buy” by more than 5 institutions, of which 9 stocks such as Wuxi Apptec Co.Ltd(603259) , Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co.Ltd(300124) , Aier Eye Hospital Group Co.Ltd(300015) were rated “buy” by more than 10 institutions.
From the perspective of institutional recommendation reasons, performance exceeding expectations is the most common recommendation logic, such as Wuxi Apptec Co.Ltd(603259) , Aier Eye Hospital Group Co.Ltd(300015) and other high-quality leaders. Individual stocks such as Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co.Ltd(300124) , Starpower Semiconductor Ltd(603290) benefit from the improvement of industry prosperity, Quectel Wireless Solutions Co.Ltd(603236) , Jafron Biomedical Co.Ltd(300529) and other stocks have strong products leading the market, leading their peers in market share.
With the support of good performance, the top 20 potential stocks are favored by social security, QFII, securities companies, funds and other institutional funds. According to the third quarterly report of 2021, the top 20 potential shares were held by about 2300 institutions, Aier Eye Hospital Group Co.Ltd(300015) and other 7 shares were held by more than 50 institutions, Starpower Semiconductor Ltd(603290) , Aier Eye Hospital Group Co.Ltd(300015) and more than 2 QFII.
From the perspective of institutional shareholding ratio (excluding general legal persons), the average proportion of institutions holding 20 potential shares is 21%, and the control ratio is high; Among them, New Dazheng Property Group Co.Ltd(002968) , Wuxi Apptec Co.Ltd(603259) and other institutions account for more than 30%, and Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co.Ltd(300124) and other seven stocks account for more than 20%. Nuggets 2027889 {
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(Securities Times)
