The stock indexes of Shenzhen and Shanghai gave a negative line of volume reduction adjustment, or tested the strong support of the morning star, or broke through the low point of the small cycle to continue to explore the bottom, The fierce long short game for the countdown to the end of the annual line does not break the strong support of the neck line and trend line, and there is no need for panic operation.
looking at the stock index, the negative line of contraction adjustment fell 3600 points, which is the demand for the second bottom of technology and the repair of indicators. The volatility has not broken the 3580 points of the neck line and the moving average. It can not be said that the trend has been destroyed; The gem index opened low and took the negative line of contraction to test the strong support of the morning star k line combination, failed to break the triple bottom neckline, and made it clear that the shock of the repair index fell and the inertia of killing and falling; Combined with the operation of the strong support of 14600 points in the second bottom of the Shenzhen composite index, and the strong support of 1350 points in the morning star k line combination after the contraction adjustment of the science and innovation 50 index, it is expected that the Shenzhen and Shanghai stock indexes that have completed the trading in 2021 in two trading days may have inertia to test the low point kinetic energy and potential energy, but they do not have the risk of losing control.
At the close of the market, aviation, shipping, hotel catering, transportation services, lithium mining and other sectors led the rise, with large-scale net capital inflow and an average volatility of more than 1%, which constituted a strong positive leading and driving force for the index. However, wine making, seed industry, power exchange concept, e-commerce concept, anti-cancer, Hongmeng concept, food and beverage, tourism, electric power, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, metauniverse, MCU chip, sodium battery, artificial meat and other sectors led the decline, with an average volatility of more than 1.5%, dragging the index down unilaterally throughout the day, proving that the countdown to the end of the annual line was superimposed on the small and long new year’s Day holiday, Institutional funds have greater “cashing” pressure.
Combined with the long short energy ratio, 78 stocks rose by more than 9%, 155 stocks rose by more than 5%, 343 stocks rose by more than 3%, 15 stocks fell by more than 9%, 85 stocks fell by more than 5%, and 337 stocks fell by more than 3%. It is expected that the “kill valuation” stage is a good opportunity for investors in the secondary market to adjust their positions and exchange shares to layout the market in 2022.
In view of this, it is recommended that investors seize the investment opportunities in three dimensions: 1) the main line of scientific and technological innovation and growth is expected to form semiconductor, components, lithography machines, MCU chips, new materials, data centers, industrial machines, 5g, artificial intelligence, Internet of things, quantum technology, aviation, metauniverse Trend market opportunities dominated by communication equipment; 2) In the direction of new energy and non-ferrous metal track, it is expected to form a large band market opportunity dominated by new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, UHV, energy storage, photovoltaic, hydrogen energy, green power, scarce resources, rare earth and rare earth permanent magnet; 3) In the direction of Finance and consumption, it is expected to form short-term and band opportunities represented by securities, insurance, medicine, medical care, biological vaccine, food and beverage, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery.
On the news side, the State Office issued the implementation plan to strengthen the sharing and application of credit information and promote the financing of small, medium-sized and micro enterprises. All regions and departments should accelerate the pace of credit information sharing, deepen the development and utilization of data, innovate and optimize the financing mode, strengthen information security and the protection of the rights and interests of market subjects, and help banks and other financial institutions improve their ability to serve small, medium-sized and micro enterprises; Continuously improve the availability of loans for small, medium and micro enterprises, effectively reduce financing costs, effectively prevent and resolve risks, support the relief and development of small, medium and micro enterprises, and provide strong support for building a new development pattern and promoting high-quality development; Gradually include tax payment, social insurance premium and housing provident fund payment, import and export, water and electricity, real estate, intellectual property rights, scientific and technological research and development into the scope of sharing, and break the “data barrier” and “information island”.
The central bank stressed that the operation of China’s financial system is generally stable, and financial risks are generally convergent and controllable; Individual real estate enterprises have been exposed to risks due to their own poor management and blind diversified expansion, and have actively taken measures to resolve risks in a stable and orderly manner; Risk events occurring in the market economy should be handled in accordance with the principles of marketization and rule of law, and the responsibilities of shareholders and territories should be compacted; From 2022 to the end of June 2023, the people’s Bank of China will provide funds at 1% of the balance increment for inclusive small and micro enterprises and individual industrial and commercial households granted by local corporate banks, and encourage the increase of inclusive small and micro loans; The inclusive small and micro credit loans will be included in the management of the support plan for agricultural and small refinancing, and the 400 billion yuan refinancing line originally used to support inclusive small and micro credit loans can be used on a rolling basis; A prudent monetary policy should be flexible and appropriate, maintain reasonable and sufficient liquidity, further enhance the ability of finance to serve the real economy, and ensure the stable growth of the total amount of money and credit, the steady optimization of the financial structure and the steady decline of comprehensive financing costs.
The national development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance issued in advance the task plan of linking the central finance to promote rural revitalization subsidy funds for work relief in 2022, leveraging local funds of about 500 million yuan, supporting local implementation of more than 1200 work relief projects, which will drive nearly 100000 rural people out of poverty and low-income population and other key groups to stabilize employment and increase income. The Ministry of industry and information technology stressed that the “14th five year plan” will encourage leading enterprises to implement merger and reorganization and build a number of world-class super large iron and steel enterprise groups; Relying on advantageous enterprises, cultivate 1 ~ 2 professional pilot enterprises in stainless steel, special steel, seamless steel pipe, cast pipe and other fields; Promote quality grading and classification evaluation in aerospace, marine and marine engineering equipment, energy equipment, advanced rail transit and automobile, high-performance machinery, construction and other fields, and continuously improve the quality and reliability of products; Aiming at the upgrading of downstream industries and the development direction of strategic emerging industries, focus on the development of key varieties such as high-quality special steel, special steel for high-end equipment and steel for core basic parts, and strive to break through about 5 new key steel materials every year to meet the steel demand of major technical equipment and major projects; We will tackle key technologies such as green and efficient mining, green and efficient beneficiation and smelting of rare earth mines, and strengthen the application of new cleaner production technologies, new equipment and new processes; Encourage enterprises to carry out digital, networked and intelligent transformation and upgrading, accelerate the integrated application of 5g, artificial intelligence, industrial Internet and other new generation information technologies in rare earth industry, and improve process control level, production efficiency and product quality; Make overall use of China’s international resources and invest rare earth exploration rights and mining rights in an appropriate and orderly manner; We will strictly implement the capacity replacement policy for steel, cement, flat glass, electrolytic aluminum and other industries, and strictly control the new capacity; Strictly control the new capacity of oil refining, phosphorus, ammonia, battery, caustic soda, soda ash, yellow phosphorus and other industries, and moderately control the capacity growth of modern coal chemical industry. In combination with the advantages of the Bureau of statistics in accelerating the reform of key statistical fields, focusing on the reform of green development statistics such as “double control” and “double carbon”, and promoting the statistical reform of supply guarantee of primary products such as Shenzhen Agricultural Products Group Co.Ltd(000061) , energy and minerals, it is expected that the long and short game of the countdown to the end of the line in 2021, or the pressure on the index due to the high decline of local “Mao shares”, But according to the law of history, there is a high probability of a smooth ending.
The author believes that the CBRC requires all banking institutions to resolutely abandon the wrong concepts and extensive business models such as deviation from their main business, separation from reality to emptiness and blind expansion, and strive to explore financial services to promote scientific and technological innovation; Increase support for advanced manufacturing industry, independent and controllable industrial chain and supply chain, and innovate green financial products and services around the goal of “double carbon”; We will vigorously develop Inclusive Finance, constantly improve financial services for small and micro enterprises and private enterprises, and allocate more financial resources to key areas and weak links of Rural Revitalization. In combination with the “14th five year plan” for raw material industry, the implementation path and specific task arrangement of carbon emission reduction in key industries are clarified. The “14th five year plan” Siasun Robot&Automation Co.Ltd(300024) industrial development plan is conducive to Siasun Robot&Automation Co.Ltd(300024) industrial operating revenue to a new level, and the “mass conservation marine circulation numerical model ‘Mazu 1.0’ effectively makes up for the gap in the application of China’s marine circulation numerical prediction business model, The official release of several policies of Jiading District on continuously promoting the development of automobile “new four modernizations” industry and the action plan of Jiading District on accelerating the development of hydrogen energy and fuel cell automobile industry in Shanghai are positive. The industries and industries expected to benefit from the core are expected to form an upward trend of medium-term premium driven and stimulated by the double improvement of revenue and net profit, And deduce the “cross year” bull attack market. Semiconductors, components, lithography machines, MCU chips, new materials, data centers, industrial machines, 5g, artificial intelligence, Internet of things, quantum technology, aviation, metauniverse, communication equipment, new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, UHV, energy storage, photovoltaic, hydrogen energy, green power, scarce resources, rare earths, rare earth permanent magnets, securities, insurance, medicine Health care, biological vaccine, food and beverage, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery and other sectors continue to judge the trend. It is suggested that investors should use the midline strategy to buy bargain hunting layout, which should reap the “cross year” red envelope market. ( the author of this paper is Zhang Cuixia, chief investment adviser of Jufeng investment. note: the above information is for reference only and is not used as specific operation suggestions. There are risks in the market and investment should be cautious.)
attached: daily line analysis diagram of different indexes
(daily analysis diagram of Shanghai stock index 2021-12-29)
(daily analysis diagram of gem index 2021-12-29)
(Xinhua Finance)
