Today (December 29), the opening of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was mixed. After the initial shock, the stock index ushered in a consistent downward exploration. With the cessation of the “drinking and taking medicine” market, Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co.Ltd(600436) limit and Kweichow Moutai Co.Ltd(600519) sharp decline, the stock index further weakened in the afternoon, showing a pulse downward pattern as a whole.
As of the day’s closing of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, the Shanghai index fell 0.91% to 3597 points, missing the integer mark of 3600 points; The Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.24% to 14653.82 points; The gem index fell 1.4% to 3281.90.
From the disk point of view, the industry and concept plates rotate and speed up, the main funds before the festival remain cautious, and it is more difficult for investors to operate. In terms of industry, airports, shipbuilding, rubber products, medical devices, logistics and other industries led the rise. In terms of subject stocks, syringe concept, aircraft carrier concept, oil price related, assisted reproduction, general aviation and other industries led the rise.
In terms of capital, on December 29, the official website of the central bank announced that in order to maintain stable liquidity at the end of the year, the people’s Bank of China launched a reverse repurchase operation of RMB 200 billion by means of interest rate bidding on December 29, 2021, with a period of 7 days and an interest rate of 2.2%, which is consistent with the previous period. As 10 billion yuan of reverse repurchase expired today, the central bank realized a net investment of 190 billion yuan in this operation.
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individual stocks monitor top ten net inflows of main forces and top ten net outflows of main forces
northbound funds
southbound fund
As the new year’s Day holiday is approaching, the stock market is arranged as follows: Hong Kong stocks will be closed from the afternoon of December 31, 2021 (this Friday) to January 2, 2022 (this Sunday). A-Shares will be closed from January 1 (this Saturday) to January 3 (next Monday) in 2022.
In terms of Hong Kong stock connect (southbound), Hong Kong stock connect service will not be provided from December 29, 2021 (this Wednesday) to January 3, 2022 (next Monday), and will be opened as usual from January 4, 2022 (next Tuesday).
In terms of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock connect (north direction), Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock connect services will not be provided from January 1 (this Saturday) to January 3 (next Monday) in 2022, and will be opened as usual from January 4 (next Tuesday) in 2022.
message plane
1. According to Xinhua Finance and economics, the Ministry of industry and information technology held a press conference on December 29 to introduce the development plan of raw material industry in the 14th five year plan. Chen Kelong, director of the raw material industry department of the Ministry of industry and information technology, said that in order to clarify the high-quality development direction of the raw material industry, the plan puts forward the overall development direction and 15-year long-term goals in the next five years, that is, by 2025, the raw material industry will initially form an industrial layout with higher quality, better efficiency, better layout, greener and safer; By 2035, it will become a highland for R & D, production and application of important raw material products in the world.
Tiktok Kwai, 2, according to the official account of WeChat public security of Zhejiang Consumer Protection Committee, in December 28th, Zhejiang Provincial Consumer Protection Committee received the rectification report of Taobao, spelling, Jingdong, fast hand and trembling five platforms and related anchors. From the submitted rectification report, the platform and related anchor’s attitude was correct, and the proposed rectification measures were practical and feasible.
3. According to the Chinese government network on December 29, the general office of the State Council issued the implementation plan for strengthening the sharing and application of credit information and promoting the financing of small, medium-sized and micro enterprises, and put forward requirements for strengthening the sharing and integration of credit information, deepening the development and utilization of credit information and protecting the legitimate rights and interests of information subjects.
4. According to Shanghai Securities News, the Ministry of industry and information technology held a press conference on the morning of December 29. Chang Guowu, deputy director of the raw material industry department of the Ministry of industry and information technology, said at the press conference that the “14th five year plan” will encourage leading enterprises to implement mergers and acquisitions and build a number of world-class super large iron and steel enterprise groups. Relying on advantageous enterprises, 1 ~ 2 professional pilot enterprises are cultivated in stainless steel, special steel, seamless steel pipe, cast pipe and other fields.
institutional view
For the current market, Shanxi Securities Co.Ltd(002500) pointed out that today, the two cities fluctuated all day, and the market style may deduce the gradual switching process. Plate, Baijiu plate experienced depth adjustment, north capital has recently accelerated the outflow of Baijiu plate. The agency believes that the consumer sector that has continued to callback may have a better performance in 2022, and the sectors of household appliances, auto parts and mass food have relatively higher certainty, so it is recommended to focus on it.
In addition, the price of lithium carbonate rose again, driving the continued strong performance of today’s lithium plate, and the concept plates such as salt lake lithium extraction and lithium battery negative electrode led the increase. The medium and long-term positive trend of new energy industry chain demand remains unchanged, which is expected to support the lithium sector to maintain a high boom; At the same time, the change of lithium reserves and the expansion of enterprise capacity may change the profit logic of the lithium sector, and the price dominance or gradual vector can cover the dominant transformation. It is suggested to take into account the growth attribute of lithium, consider both volume and price, and carry out medium and long-term layout according to the change of performance and cashability of specific targets.
In addition, Anxin Securities said that due to differences in the market’s understanding of the strength of the steady growth policy, the current CSI 300 index more reflects the characteristics of tamping the bottom. We don’t worry about this “bottom grinding”, and what we need most in the bottom grinding process is patience. We believe that the GDP growth rate next year will probably pick up compared with the second half of this year, and the “economic bottom” may occur in the second quarter of next year, which determines that the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index has a high probability of swing back in the medium term, and should be more optimistic after the Spring Festival.
For the evaluation of the industrial track at the beginning of the year, the current fluctuations of the high boom and high valuation track represented by Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) are more based on the position adjustment of public funds at the end of the year under the disturbance of market sentiment and the emphasis on profit taking under the reduction of risk preference. The disturbance of market sentiment is the main factor, and the fundamentals have not changed significantly. The medium-term trend of the industry continues to be optimistic, but the short-term volatility will be significantly enhanced, It is recommended to trade time for space. At the same time, we believe that “intelligence” is the preferred direction at present, the intelligent automobile industry chain is still the top priority, and the continuous enrichment and improvement of industrial ecology is the core logic. At the same time, driven by the expectation of steady growth, priority is given to focusing on the long logic track. It is suggested to pay attention to: intelligent automobile industry chain, chemical industry (new material field and traditional infrastructure related fields), power, electronics (Consumer Electronics), food and beverage, banking, etc.
Overall, the agency further analyzed that the current market is “impatient but not moving”, which is in the consolidation layout period, and needs to wait for key signals such as clear policy expectations, improvement of incremental funds and stability of the external environment. The signal of breaking the situation lies in the implementation of credit extension and domestic demand expansion policies at the beginning of the year and the promotion of covid-19 drugs and strengthening needles. Under the background of consistent expectations for steady growth and relatively loose liquidity, the follow-up needs to focus on the “good start” of the issuance of new funds, and “build a platform for value and grow up”. This round of spring agitation is still worth looking forward to.
In addition, Wanhe securities mentioned that the signal of steady growth was clear, and the cross year market evolved to “spring agitation”. The Spring Festival in the year of the tiger is relatively early. After entering 2022, it is expected that there will be a round of liquidity launch, which is relatively good information for the market. This week is the last full week of 2021, and the index will also evolve from the cross year market to the “spring agitation” at the beginning of each year. We believe that the market may continue to fluctuate in the short term, but with the release of liquidity after the next year, it is expected that the “spring agitation” in 2022 may come earlier than in previous years. The industry can pay attention to military industry, food and beverage, beauty care.
