Jufeng investment adviser: weak sustainability of hot spots has become a hidden worry

panel overview

On Monday morning, A-Shares fluctuated and adjusted, the stock index strengthened in the afternoon, and the growth enterprise market led the rise. On the disk, photovoltaic, energy metals, port and shipping, mining, coal, chemical raw materials, small metals, medical devices, ships, batteries, electric power and other industries led the increase; Decoration, education, engineering machinery, real estate, automobiles, household appliances, engineering construction, etc. led the decline. In terms of subject stocks, digital currency, in vitro diagnosis, data security, covid-19 detection, hit battery, blade battery, lithium extraction from Salt Lake, power battery recycling and scarce resources led the rise, while LED, industrial machine tools, assembly buildings, diamond cultivation, rental and sale rights, radio and television, digital reading and other small pullbacks.

message surface

steady growth will continue to make efforts, and the economy will sail hard in 2022

The national two sessions will be held in 2022, and steady growth has become a hot topic of concern. Experts said that under the “triple pressure” on China’s economic development, stable growth needs to play a key role of investment and consumption to play a basic role in escorting the giant ship of China’s economy.

a behind the number of share investors exceeding 200 million, the market reform has been fast and steady, and the protection of rights and interests has been strengthened

According to the news released by China’s settlement day, since the breakthrough of 150 million in March 2019, the number of A-share investors has been growing, reaching 200087 million by February 25, 2022. The six years of investors’ running admission are also the six years of rapid development of the A-share market and continuous improvement of the basic system. While the number and total market value of listed companies continue to grow in the market, reform measures such as the establishment of the Beijing stock exchange and the science and innovation board and the implementation of the new securities law are gradually implemented, and all parties pay more attention to the protection of investors’ rights and interests.

top ten brokerage strategies: the gradual removal of disturbance is a good time to layout the market in spring

Citic Securities Company Limited(600030) believes that the high point of geo risk impact may have passed, and the risk disturbance is mainly reflected in the emotional level. March will enter the preliminary effect observation period of stable growth policy, and it is expected that the follow-up policies will continue to increase and enter the centralized development period. The “three bottoms” of A-Shares have been confirmed in turn, and it is suggested to maintain a high position and stick to the main line of stable growth, Adhere to the balanced allocation of the two dimensions of industry and style, and focus on the layout of “two low positions”.

Jufeng viewpoint

pre trading judgment: on Friday, European and American stock markets rebounded strongly by more than 3% due to the easing of the situation in Ukraine, and the prices of gold and crude oil fell; Institutions generally believe that the world has completed the risk pricing of the situation in Ukraine, but the news over the weekend seems less optimistic. The dollar index rose sharply on Monday, and A-Shares are expected to open higher. It is suggested to continue to control positions during the rebound.

In fact, the three major indexes opened slightly lower this morning. Before opening, crude oil soared by 8% and gold soared by 2%, indicating that the global market once again opened the safe haven mode. Therefore, the 3% rise in European and American stock markets on Friday was not reflected in a shares.

After the opening, track stocks rebounded collectively, and oil, mining, military industry, coal and other sectors strengthened; The infrastructure sector, automobile, media and real estate fell into adjustment.

In the afternoon, oil, mining and military industry fell, coal and photovoltaic rose, and the stock index turned red in the afternoon. From the whole day trend, the sustainability of hot spots is not strong. Often the strong sector of the day will make up the decline on the next trading day. Similarly, the sector with deep correction the day before often rebounded on the same day.

At present, China’s investment research institutions generally believe that the disturbance of the situation in Ukraine to A-Shares has weakened. We need to be cautious and have a clear understanding of the oversold rebound in the current market. On Thursday and Friday, after releasing a huge amount for two consecutive days, it contracted and consolidated again, indicating that the willingness of incremental funds to catch up is very low.

investment suggestions:

Jufeng investment adviser believes that the liquidity at the macro level has been gradually improved, and the central bank has continuously cut reserve requirements and interest rates to release liquidity, indicating that the policy bottom has appeared; However, the construction of the market bottom is complex and there is a time lag between the market bottom and the policy bottom. Before the Spring Festival, the market continued to callback, the overvalued track stocks and growth stocks were significantly adjusted, and the undervalued blue chips reflected a certain degree of defensive. After the Spring Festival, market liquidity improved, and value and growth rose one after another. Recently, the oversold rebound of growth stocks and secondary new shares has been launched, but the sustainability is not strong. Be careful not to chase up. The time has entered the window period of the two sessions, and the probability of A-share building the bottom box is high; The medium-term proposal takes growth as the main line, and individual stocks with higher than expected growth in the annual report and the first quarter report can continue to participate in the rebound.

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