Uncover smart money this week: second and third tier hot stocks are secretly low! This long adjusted plate is about to start?

What does smart money do every week? One or two may be seen through the data of super large single main capital, industry flow direction and two financing.

short term head has become

main force crazy realization

this week, the Shanghai stock index rebounded weakly after falling close to the 30 day moving average. It still fell behind the 5, 10 and 20 day moving average. It can be basically determined that 3708 points will become the short-term head. It is more likely to continue to callback the 30 day moving average near 3600 points . Although there was a rebound in the week, the net outflow amount of super large single main funds this week decreased slightly to 82.567 billion yuan compared with last week.

From the perspective of the main capital flow of large single day, the two negative lines of the Shanghai stock index on Monday and Friday correspond to a net outflow of more than 30 billion yuan, of which the net outflow on Monday reached 39.8 billion yuan, a new high of single day net outflow in more than three months since September 17. Meanwhile, the Zhongyang line of the Shanghai stock index on Tuesday only had a net inflow of 850 million yuan. This shows that near the end of the year, the main funds in the venue are conventionally “realized and rested”.

▲ major capital flows of super large orders in the two markets in recent 20 trading days

From the 21 trading weeks in the past half a year, the net outflow amount of of super large single main funds this week is in the middle.

▲ major capital flows of super large orders in two cities in one week in recent half a year

the hottest track continues to sell

is this plate that has been adjusted for a long time about to start?

This week, the number of stocks with an active net purchase of more than 100 million yuan in the two cities increased slightly to 256 compared with last week; The number of stocks that were actively sold for more than 100 million yuan increased slightly to 693 compared with last week, which shows that the main funds are widely divergent, and most of them are shipped, but there are also funds to tap individual stocks.

This week, the net initiative buying side also slightly felt some “new year” atmosphere, electronic, Baijiu, Chinese medicine, such large consumer concept stocks have been on the list. Affected by the rumors of preparing to build a large iPhone assembly plant, Luxshare Precision Industry Co.Ltd(002475) rose continuously this week, setting a new high in nearly 10 months since the Spring Festival this year, with nearly 3 billion yuan of net active purchase taking the lead. The second runner up was the stock king Kweichow Moutai Co.Ltd(600519) . The frequent news of price rise also made it hit a six-month high in the week, and was bought by the net initiative of more than 2.8 billion yuan. It is worth noting that two Chinese medicine stocks Yunnan Baiyao Group Co.Ltd(000538) and Beijing Tongrentang Co.Ltd(600085) were shortlisted this week, which may be a precursor to the start of the plate market?

▲ this week, the main funds of super large orders in the two cities actively bought the top 10 stocks

In terms of net active sales, the PV leader Longi Green Energy Technology Co.Ltd(601012) has obviously not stopped falling. It hit a new low for more than two months this week, hitting the annual line support, and was actively sold for more than 2.7 billion yuan. Similar to last week, the selling tide of individual stocks in the new energy industry chain has not subsided. Vehicle concept stocks Byd Company Limited(002594) and Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited(000625) , rare metal concept stocks related to lithium batteries China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.Ltd(600111) and China Minmetals Rare Earth Co.Ltd(000831) , and even auto parts concept stocks Yunnan Xiyi Industrial Co.Ltd(002265) have encountered active net sales, and there is no sign of rebound in a short time.

▲ this week, the main funds of super large orders in the two cities sold the top 10 stocks on their own initiative

agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery industry is better than nothing

nonferrous metals industry continues to be abandoned

During the rebound this week, only one of the 28 Shenwan level industries barely had a net inflow of main funds, namely agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery industry . However, the net inflow of this industry is almost negligible, only more than 100 million yuan.

In terms of the distribution of net outflow industries, the net outflow of five industries exceeded 10 billion yuan, slightly lower than that of last week. Among them, nonferrous metal industry is still selling. Together with electrical equipment industry , the net outflow of both industries exceeds 20 billion yuan. In addition, the net outflow amount of chemical industry, electronic industry and mechanical equipment industry also exceeded 10 billion yuan. It seems that several popular industries in the year were mainly shipping.

▲ ranking of net inflow amount of major industries in Shenwan this week

let go of the faucet low suction second and third line

financing customer layout market at the beginning of next year?

In the five trading days from December 17 to Thursday (the two financing data on Friday will be announced by the exchange on the first trading day of the next trading week), the overall trend of the balance of margin trading and securities lending in the two cities is downward, and rebounds slightly after approaching the low in early December again.

▲ changes in the balance of margin trading and securities lending in the two cities in recent 20 trading days

Contrary to the trend of main funds, this week’s financing customers once again bucked the trend and began to absorb low, such as photovoltaic leader Longi Green Energy Technology Co.Ltd(601012) , new energy related Gotion High-Tech Co.Ltd(002074) , Weichai Power Co.Ltd(000338) , Sunwoda Electronic Co.Ltd(300207) have become the objects of financing purchase. Obviously, the financing customer’s action is a bit of mining the taste of popular concept stocks in the early stage of the second and third tier. Is it preparing for the market at the beginning of next year?

▲ net purchase of top 10 stocks by financing this week

In terms of net sales of individual stocks by financing, nearly three new lows of Iflytek Co.Ltd(002230) were sold by financing customers this week, with an amount of 840 million yuan. Meanwhile, for the leading stocks in the new energy industry chain with large increase in the early stage (such as China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.Ltd(600111) , Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) , China Minmetals Rare Earth Co.Ltd(000831) , Tianqi Lithium Corporation(002466) ), the pace of financing customers is consistent with that of main funds – continue to sell.

▲ net sales of top 10 stocks by financing this week

(Daily Economic News)

 

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