Can the law of new year’s day be repeated? Figure 1 A-share trend before the festival

2021 is coming to an end. What surprises will A-Shares bring you in the last five trading days next week? According to the data, since 2015, the Shanghai stock index has no obvious rise and fall trend on the 5th day before the new year’s Day (trading day, the same below), but some industries such as food and beverage, leisure services, banking and automobile have a rise probability of more than 85%.

In the past two years, the Shanghai stock index rose sharply in the five trading days before New Year’s day, which also made many investors “used to grabbing red envelopes before the festival, but the time has been extended to 2015. The probability of the rise of the Shanghai stock index before the festival is 57%, and the” rise “is not obvious.

However, there are four industries with high probability of rising on the fifth day before the festival, and six of the seven years are rising. These four industries are food and beverage, leisure services, banking and automobile. Among them, the increase in the pre Festival probability of food and beverage, leisure services and automobile industries may be related to the increased attention of the market to festival consumption.

In contrast, the probability of rise in the four industries of home appliances, computers, electronics and media in the first five days of the festival is only 28.57%, that is, it has fallen in five of the seven years.

Next week, the market will usher in the last trading week of the year. Do you think the market can rise before the festival?

 

- Advertisment -