The fermentation of the situation in Russia and Ukraine has triggered changes in ports and shipping sectors. The reduction of port charges by the Ministry of transport and the national development and Reform Commission is conducive to reducing the burden of shipping enterprises.
Today, after the market index opened higher, it closed lower collectively. The Shanghai index fell 0.09%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.09% and the gem fell 1.51%. The turnover of the two cities exceeded trillion yuan, showing an overall decline in volume. Russia's trade concept, oil and gas exploitation, port shipping, coal and other sectors led the rise, while the eastern digital Western computing, hjt battery, national defense and military industry, semiconductor, automotive electronics and other sectors fell one after another, and the digital economy concept stocks weakened across the board.
Port and shipping stocks are flying together, and the sector indexes are among the top gainers Jinzhou Port Co.Ltd(600190) received 5 connecting sectors, and Beijing Changjiu Logistics Corp(603569) , Ningbo Marine Company Limited(600798) received 2 connecting sectors. The trading limits of Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co.Ltd(601008) , Liaoning Port Co.Ltd(601880) , Shenzhen Yan Tian Port Holdings Co.Ltd(000088) , Sinotrans Limited(601598) , etc.
In terms of news, according to the official website of the Ministry of transport, the Ministry of transport and the national development and Reform Commission jointly issued the notice on reducing and merging port charges and other related matters, canceling the government pricing of port facility security fees and incorporating them into the port operation lump sum fee as a sub item, and the charging standard of this sub item shall not be higher than the original charging standard. Shenzhen port, Meizhouwan port, Rizhao Port Co.Ltd(600017) , Jinzhou Port Co.Ltd(600190) , reduce the benchmark rate of pilotage (relocation) fee by 15%, Shanghai port, Ningbo Zhoushan port, Dalian port, Tangshan Port Group Co.Ltd(601000) , Qingdao Port International Co.Ltd(601298) , Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co.Ltd(601008) , Zhanjiang port, Fuzhou port, Fangcheng port, Weihai port, Huanghua port, Yantai port, Xiamen port and Quanzhou port, reduce the benchmark rate of pilotage (relocation) fee by 10%.
turbulence factors may stimulate shipping prices
China Securities Co.Ltd(601066) Securities said that the global centralized transportation supply chain has always been in a tight state. From the impact of events such as the blockage of Suez Canal and Shenzhen Yan Tian Port Holdings Co.Ltd(000088) suspension in history, they have led to nonlinear mutation in freight rates. Although the container transportation in and out of the Black Sea is a relatively small trade, the continuous escalation of the situation in Russia and Ukraine may have a great impact on the global container supply chain and greatly delay the recovery speed of the global supply chain. In terms of demand, the demand for residents' material reserves in European countries may increase significantly, or the import volume from countries with long transportation distance will increase, driving the overall demand of tons of nautical miles. It is expected that the contradiction between supply and demand of subsequent centralized transportation may become more prominent, and the freight rate may have a nonlinear mutation.
China Merchants Securities Co.Ltd(600999) research report points out that Russia and Ukraine are the world's major grain and coal export hubs. Regional conflicts will shift relevant import and export trade to the Americas, Australia and New Zealand, and the lengthening of transportation distance is expected to increase the freight rate of dry bulk cargo; On the other hand, regional conflicts have led to concerns about the stability of the supply chain on both sides of import and export trade, and the freight rates of relevant routes may increase significantly in the short term. In terms of oil transportation, Europe is highly dependent on Russian energy. At present, about 2.3 million barrels / day of Russian crude oil flows westward to the export terminals of the Baltic Sea and the Black Sea through the pipeline network, and directly to the refineries in central and Eastern Europe. If the regional situation worsens and Western countries impose sanctions on Russia, European refineries will turn to the Middle East to import crude oil, and Russia will also look for alternative customers. At that time, the crude oil transportation distance will be lengthened and the overall crude oil transportation price will be significantly increased. Regional conflicts have led to concerns about the stability of the supply chain between import and export sides, and the freight rates of relevant routes may increase significantly in the short term.
capital large-scale warehouse adding shipping leader
According to the statistics of securities times and data treasure, there are 39 port and shipping stocks in a shares. Since the Spring Festival, the share price has risen by an average of 16.84%, and only the cumulative rise and fall of Jiangsu Wanlin Modern Logistics Co.Ltd(603117) , Nanjing Shenghang Shipping Co.Ltd(001205) and Nanjing Shenghang Shipping Co.Ltd(001205) have recorded negative values.
Jinzhou Port Co.Ltd(600190) has increased by 69.6% in total. Due to the excessive increase in the limit for the past five consecutive days, Jinzhou Port Co.Ltd(600190) has twice prompted risks, saying that there is no significant change in the company's main business, and the current P / E ratio is much higher than the average level of Listed Companies in the same industry, reminding investors to invest rationally, improve risk awareness and pay attention to investment risks The share prices of Ningbo Marine Company Limited(600798) , Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co.Ltd(600026) , Beijing Changjiu Logistics Corp(603569) , Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co.Ltd(601008) , and Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co.Ltd(601008) , all rose by more than 30%.
In terms of capital, since the Spring Festival, northbound capital has increased its position by 14 shares, and the net purchase amount of northbound capital of Cosco Shipping Holdings Co.Ltd(601919) , Beibu Gulf Port Co.Ltd(000582) , Cosco Shipping Development Company Limited(601866) , Sinotrans Limited(601598) ranks first; Among them, Cosco Shipping Holdings Co.Ltd(601919) after the festival, it has received a net inflow of 949 million yuan of funds going north.
Since this week, affected by the fermentation of the Russia Ukraine incident, the main funds have paid more attention to the concept stocks of ports and shipping. Today, the number of concept stocks bought by the main force has reached 22. From the cumulative net purchase amount of this week, the main net purchase amount of Cosco Shipping Holdings Co.Ltd(601919) , Nanjing Tanker Corporation(601975) , Sinotrans Limited(601598) , Liaoning Port Co.Ltd(601880) , Ningbo Marine Company Limited(600798) , Cosco Shipping Development Company Limited(601866) ranks first, and the net purchase amount of main funds of Cosco Shipping Holdings Co.Ltd(601919) is the highest, reaching 1.178 billion yuan.
According to the statistics of data treasure, according to the lower limit of performance forecast and express data released by the company, the performance of 17 concept stocks achieved profitability and year-on-year growth Cosco Shipping Holdings Co.Ltd(601919) 's net profit attributable to the parent company significantly exceeds that of other concept stocks. The company predicts a net profit of about 89.28 billion yuan, an increase of about 799.3% Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co.Ltd(603565) , Beibu Gulf Port Co.Ltd(000582) 's net profit attributable to the parent company in 2021 is more than 10 billion. In terms of growth, the performance of Cosco Shipping Holdings Co.Ltd(601919) , Chang Jiang Shipping Group Phoenix Co.Ltd(000520) , Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co.Ltd(601008) , Cosco Shipping Specialized Carriers Co.Ltd(600428) is expected to double.
