Market analysis: I have to lament the effectiveness of technical analysis again, today, I accurately probe the upper edge of the channel and then be beaten back. In the short term, it is nothing more than breaking through the channel or falling below the channel. This is a predictive .
The current market is still an emotional market. If the mood can continue to improve, the volume may increase again and drive the index to rise, but don’t expect too high. My expectation is that the rise and fall of the index are smaller and slower, and the shock is very good.
Capital flow: the turnover of the two markets is 1018.8 billion, which is still above trillion. It looks good, but it still feels a little empty, because at present, it is the emotional market and retail market . This figure can not be true. It makes no difference whether it will continue to increase or fall below trillion tomorrow.
In terms of capital style, there is a phenomenon worth noting today. It seems that the market has rebounded well in an all-round way, but the best thing for the rise of is the pharmaceutical sector which fell more in the early stage. There are no driving things. There are less than 100 trading limits and many falling limits. It feels that the market as a whole is not very confident, So next still need to be cautious. It’s not a pity to miss this market today.
Plate hot spots: use today’s trend to verify yesterday’s views on the three treasures of war
Gold: there is differentiation today. There is a premium in the front row, such as Western Region Gold Co.Ltd(601069) . The back row is basically underwater. Today’s adjustment is normal. The optimistic logic of remains unchanged: short-term conflict hedging demand, long-term inflation hedging demand, and the divergent gold jewelry industry has certain growth.
Oil and gas: the events in Russia and Ukraine will not be solved in the short term, and the energy crisis will not be solved in the short term. This is the speculation in the short term. Of course, don’t expect too much at the current pace. After a day’s rise, you should rest for two or three days, which is worthy of continuous tracking. Yesterday’s rise limit is basically at a premium today.
Military industry: as expected, the weakest of the three rose the latest yesterday, which is a very false performance, indicating that it is the choice of empty funds, which is logically untenable. Foreign war is related to Chinese military enterprises. Of course, I heard another saying yesterday that it is to prepare for the Taiwan Strait, which is purely YY.
Future outlook: 1. I think the research on the Ukrainian Russian incident can come to an end. This event will have an impact on the market trend in a day or two, and the utility will be lower and lower. I suggest you don’t waste time in the wrong direction. You are here to study the stock market and stocks. If you are really interested in diplomatic events and want to get a view, it is recommended to go out and turn left. And most people just want to see the excitement and send pictures. They don’t want to spend time understanding the historical truth or the whole picture of events.
2. The current market is the emotional market and retail market. I have said this many times. I suggest the opposite in thinking. Yesterday was a moment of panic. You should think of Bo rebound at the first time. Of course, the correct posture is to open today. Today, it has become a general anti market, but if you take a closer look, there is no driving main theme at all. What is good today is the one that fell the most in the early stage.
Unless this market is selected at the opening, it is actually very difficult to participate in the whole day, because you don’t buy today. In the T + 1 market, you can buy the fastest today and sell it tomorrow. What will happen tomorrow? So personally, I will patiently wait for the opening tomorrow. it doesn’t mean that the market will be empty when it rises, and you don’t have to think too far, but at least think more.
