main line of market performance
Today, the two A-share markets rebounded sharply, with the gem up 2.82% and the trading volume back to trillion, led by the rebound of track stocks such as semiconductor chips, lithium batteries and photovoltaic.
The core of the rally of track stocks in this round is driven by performance. The main rising directions are in the upstream of lithium new energy and semiconductor. These tracks benefit from price increases, and most of the first quarter results disclosed recently exceed expectations.
semiconductor, chip:
[unveiling the secrets of the tuyere] attention! Are these stocks secretly brewing big opportunities From the perspective of supply, the semiconductor industry has been combed and interpreted. On the whole, the shortage of semiconductor is still continuing, the performance of the industry has increased rapidly, and the prosperity continues.
In December, the shipment volume of semiconductor equipment in North America and Japan increased rapidly, and the high prosperity of the industry continued. According to semi statistics, the shipment amount of semiconductor equipment in North America in December was US $39.2, close to US $3.93 billion in November, up 46.1% from US $2.68 billion in the same period in 2020.
According to the statistics of Japan semiconductor manufacturing device association, the shipment amount of semiconductor equipment in Japan rose in December, up 7.7% from 281.6 billion yen in November and 71% from 177.4 billion yen in the same period in 2020.
Last night, many semiconductor companies such as Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation(688981) , Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co.Ltd(688699) , Maxscend Microelectronics Company Limited(300782) announced their performance express, which verified the prosperity of the industry, which is the core driver of today’s semiconductor rebound.
upstream of lithium battery:
On February 17, the article “just shot again, tomorrow’s a shares…” In the, the detailed annual reports of lithium, phosphorus chemical industry, fluorine chemical industry and cobalt upstream of lithium battery were interpreted and analyzed in advance. At present, the sales of new energy vehicles are booming, driving the demand for lithium battery, while the supply of lithium ore is rigid. At present, the supply and demand of lithium ore is still tight.
Yesterday Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group Co.Ltd(002497) (002497) disclosed the performance forecast for the first quarter of 2022, with an increase of 1053.67% – 1438.22% compared with the same period of the previous year. The unexpected performance directly detonated the whole upstream sector of lithium battery.
Due to the decline of energy supply in the West and lithium extraction from salt lakes in winter, the lithium mine capacity maintained a tight supply pattern in the first half of the year, and the increment will be mainly released in the second half of this year. The valuation of lithium leading price to book ratio has been at the low point adjusted in the first quarter of 2021.
From March to April is the window period for the disclosure of the first quarterly report and annual report. The performance market is a relatively fixed investment opportunity every year. With the disclosure of the first quarterly report of each company, the performance will become a major factor dominating the market.
Therefore, at this stage, we can properly grasp the upstream and semiconductor directions of lithium battery that benefit from the price rise and have stronger certainty of short-term performance. However, while seizing the opportunity, we should also pay attention to whether the pre increase of performance has been fully responded by the market. If the stock price has fully responded to the expectation of performance growth, we should carefully catch up.
(risk warning: there are risks in the stock market, so investment should be cautious. The above contents and individual stocks are only for investors’ reference and are not used as the basis for investment decision-making.)