After adjustment for a long time, the concept of lithium extraction from Salt Lake rose by 5%, which also led to the “element periodic table” market related to the upstream and downstream industrial chain of lithium battery, and the concept sectors such as phosphorus chemical industry, fluorine chemical industry, silicone, PVDF and cobalt strengthened one after another.
In terms of individual stocks, Bgt Group Co.Ltd(300774) rose by more than 13%; Daily limit of East China Engineering Science And Technology Co.Ltd(002140) , Poten Environment Group Co.Ltd(603603) , Jinyuan Ep Co.Ltd(000546) , Tianqi Lithium Corporation(002466) ; Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy Co.Ltd(002256) , Ganfeng Lithium Co.Ltd(002460) , Chengxin Lithium Group Co.Ltd(002240) , Tibet Mineral Development Co.Ltd(000762) and others rose by more than 6%.
lithium price breaks through the mark of RMB 400000
On the news side, the sales agreement price of electronic lithium carbonate bill of lading reached 470 yuan / kg. In addition, Tesla signed a large lithium ore purchase order with Australian lithium miners to purchase 100000 dry metric tons of spodumene concentrate in the first year.
Due to the problems of production line construction cycle and the disturbance of the epidemic situation, it continues to affect the supply of lithium resources worldwide, and the downstream demand continues to increase. From mid November 2021, the price of lithium continues to rise and break through the 400000 yuan mark, but the rush of downstream enterprises continues.
Considering that the epidemic and labor shortage affect the supply of concentrate, Citic Securities Company Limited(600030) it is expected that the price of lithium ore will exceed US $3000 / ton in the first half of 2022.
According to the research report data of Cinda securities, the “scissors gap” between marginal demand and supply of lithium resources will expand in the future.
According to the data of SMM and listed companies, in 2022, the supply increment of lithium ore in China was about 108900 tons, and the supply increment of lithium from salt lake was 8.1 tons, which is still a big gap compared with the overseas supply increment. At the same time, due to the continuous promotion of global low-carbon emission reduction and the demand for new energy construction, the demand for lithium resources remains high.
Since February, which lithium battery concept stocks have been increased by the “smart money” represented by main funds, northbound funds and leveraged funds?
main funds: 17.5 billion latent focus on upstream resource stocks
What are the main concepts of ultra large lithium stocks? According to the data of China stock market news choice, since February, the main funds have net bought 102 shares, with a total net purchase amount of 17.5 billion yuan.
In terms of individual stocks, the main funds love China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.Ltd(600111) , with a net purchase of 2.3 billion yuan; The net purchases of Ganfeng Lithium Co.Ltd(002460) and Jiangxi Special Electric Motor Co.Ltd(002176) also exceeded 1.8 billion yuan and 1 billion yuan respectively.
The main net purchases of individual stocks such as Tianqi Lithium Corporation(002466) , Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co.Ltd(603799) , Yunnan Yuntianhua Co.Ltd(600096) , Suzhou Ta&A Ultra Clean Technology Co.Ltd(300390) , Tibet Mineral Development Co.Ltd(000762) , Youngy Co.Ltd(002192) , Zhejiang Yongtai Technology Co .Ltd(002326) , Sinomine Resource Group Co.Ltd(002738) ranged from 940 million yuan to 580 million yuan.
The net purchases of Yongxing Special Materials Technology Co.Ltd(002756) , Chengxin Lithium Group Co.Ltd(002240) , Yunnan Energy New Material Co.Ltd(002812) , Wanhua Chemical Group Co.Ltd(600309) , Keda Industrial Group Co.Ltd(600499) , Shandong Hualu-Hengsheng Chemical Co.Ltd(600426) , Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co.Ltd(000422) , Sunwoda Electronic Co.Ltd(300207) , Sichuan New Energy Power Company Limited(000155) ranged from 500 million yuan to 260 million yuan.
It is worth noting that the main capital net purchases are mostly lithium resource stocks or other upstream resource stocks in the industrial chain.
northbound capital: 5.7 billion low absorption
According to the data of China stock market news choice, according to the estimation of the average transaction price and the number of holdings increased in the range, since February, northbound funds have bought a total of 47 lithium battery concept stocks, with a total net purchase of 5.7 billion yuan.
Among them, Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment Co.Ltd(300450) is the most popular with northbound funds, with an increase of more than 950 million yuan; The second is Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Technology Co.Ltd(688005) , with an increase of more than 550 million yuan.
The holdings of lithium battery concept stocks such as Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co.Ltd(002709) , Byd Company Limited(002594) , Wanhua Chemical Group Co.Ltd(600309) , Trina Solar Co.Ltd(688599) , Jiangxi Copper Company Limited(600362) , Naura Technology Group Co.Ltd(002371) , Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Co.Ltd(000630) ranged from 490 million yuan to 220 million yuan.
The increase of lithium battery concept shares such as Beijing Easpring Material Technology Co.Ltd(300073) , Shanghai Putailai New Energy Technology Co.Ltd(603659) , Ningbo Shanshan Co.Ltd(600884) , Shandong Shida Shenghua Chemical Group Company Limite(603026) , Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Co.Ltd(600522) , China Baoan Group Co.Ltd(000009) , Cngr Advanced Material Co.Ltd(300919) is less than 200 million yuan and more than 100 million yuan.
leveraged funds: 570 billion China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.Ltd(600111)
What lithium battery concept stocks did leveraged funds buy more and more? According to the data of China stock market news choice, since February, leveraged capital financing has net bought 68 shares, with an amount of more than 4.4 billion yuan.
In terms of individual stocks, leveraged funds love China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.Ltd(600111) , and the net purchase amount of financing exceeds 570 million yuan; Followed by Yunnan Energy New Material Co.Ltd(002812) , the net purchase amount of financing exceeded 520 million yuan.
The net purchase amount of multi share financing such as Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co.Ltd(000792) , Ganfeng Lithium Co.Ltd(002460) , Eve Energy Co.Ltd(300014) , Jiangxi Special Electric Motor Co.Ltd(002176) , Zhejiang Yongtai Technology Co .Ltd(002326) , Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co.Ltd(603799) , Keda Industrial Group Co.Ltd(600499) ranges from 430 million yuan to 100 million yuan.
organization: lithium ore will rise recommend 2 main line
The agency pointed out that the disturbance of lithium production in Australia continued, the output fell month on month in the fourth quarter, and the lithium price is expected to exceed US $3000 / ton in the first half of 2022. In addition, many governments said they would strengthen industrial protection and establish independent industrial chains. With the increasing expansion of lithium demand, salt lake brine lithium resources will be developed under the strategic demand of diversified types and supply guarantee.
Citic Securities Company Limited(600030) said that the selling price of lithium concentrate in Australia rose to US $1600-1800 / ton in the fourth quarter of 2021, up 100% month on month compared with the previous quarter. Benefiting from the rapid rise in the price of lithium compounds and the change of sales mode of Australian lithium mining enterprises, the price of lithium concentrate accelerated upward in the fourth quarter of 2021. According to the guidance data of relevant enterprises, the price of lithium concentrate in Australia is expected to rise to US $3000 / ton in the first half of 2022. The sharp rise in the price of lithium concentrate will increase the cost of China’s lithium salt production enterprises and further boost the rise of lithium price.
Bohai Securities said that it is expected that the supply and demand will continue to be tight from 2021 to 2023, and the lithium price center will continue to rise. It is expected that the supply and demand difference from 2021 to 2023 will be – 151000, – 99000 and – 34000 tons of LCE respectively. There is a substantial shortage of lithium raw materials. At the same time, it is estimated that the downstream has a good acceptance of the price increase. It is expected that the price center will continue to rise in 2022 and 2023, and the industry profit will be guaranteed. Enterprises integrating resource processing will have core advantages. Main reasons: 1. Due to the explosive growth of demand, the scarcity of lithium resources is prominent. Lithium salt processing enterprises need to layout in multiple regions and types, stabilize the industry position of upstream lithium resources, and increase their performance through the release of upstream resource capacity; 2. Through the integration of resource processing, the supply and quality of raw materials can be guaranteed in high boom times, and the cost can be reduced with low-cost raw materials in low boom times, so as to grasp the long-term advantage. It is recommended to pay attention to Ganfeng Lithium Co.Ltd(002460) , Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group Co.Ltd(002497) , Tianqi Lithium Corporation(002466) , Yongxing Special Materials Technology Co.Ltd(002756) .
