[Jufeng viewpoint]
On Thursday, A-share differentiation, stock index shock consolidation, gem fell again. On the disk, aviation airports, tourist hotels, public utilities, coal, agriculture, animal husbandry, feeding and fishing, insurance, engineering construction, chemical fertilizer, cement and building materials, banking, environmental protection and other industries led the increase; Photovoltaic equipment, wind power equipment, batteries, non-metallic materials, software development, power supply equipment, medical treatment, communication, auto parts, consumer electronics and other industries led the decline. In terms of theme stocks, online tourism, pork concept, civil explosion concept, chicken concept, blind box economy and tax-free concept led the increase, while cro, solid-state battery, hit battery, blade battery, virtual power plant, sodium ion battery, energy storage, Huawei automobile and industrial mother machine led the decrease.
[technical Kanpan]
The market has entered the third wave of rising market on the weekly line. Now, after the adjustment of the third wave of rising market, the market has formed a medium-term volatile market.
In the short term, the market rebounded after the Spring Festival and gradually bottomed out. The overall market still fluctuates in a large range at 3400-3700 points.
[hot sector]
Stronger pork concept: Leshan Giantstar Farming&Husbandry Corporation Limited(603477) , Shenzhen Kingkey Smart Agriculture Times Co.Ltd(000048) , Hunan New Wellful Co.Ltd(600975) , Dongrui Food Group Co.Ltd(001201) , Jiangxi Zhengbang Technology Co.Ltd(002157) , Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co.Ltd(002548) limit, Fujian Aonong Biological Technology Group Incorporation Limited(603363) , Muyuan Foods Co.Ltd(002714) , Tangrenshen Group Co.Ltd(002567) , Tecon Biology Co.Ltd(002100) , New Hope Liuhe Co.Ltd(000876) etc. rose by more than 4%.
The cultural media sector strengthened: Guangdong Advertising Group Co.Ltd(002400) , Hubei Radio & Television Information Network Co.Ltd(000665) , Hylink Digital Solution Co.Ltd(603825) , Inly Media Co.Ltd(603598) , Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) Company Limited(601999) , China Science Publishing & Media Ltd(601858) , Shenzhen Mason Technologies Co.Ltd(002654) rose by the limit, Focus Media Information Technology Co.Ltd(002027) , Jishi Media Co.Ltd(601929) , Duzhe Publishing&Media Co.Ltd(603999) rose by more than 5%.
Tourist hotels rose for five consecutive days: Caesar’s travel limit, Xi’An Qujiang Cultural Tourism Co.Ltd(600706) , Jiangsu Tianmu Lake Tourism Co.Ltd(603136) , Utour Group Co.Ltd(002707) , Anhui Jiuhuashan Tourism Development Co.Ltd(603199) hit the sector, and Btg Hotels (Group) Co.Ltd(600258) , Mount Emei, China Cyts Tours Holding Co.Ltd(600138) , Huangshan Tourism Development Co.Ltd(600054) led the increase.
Coal opened low and went high: Jizhong Energy Resources Co.Ltd(000937) rose by the limit, China Shenhua Energy Company Limited(601088) , Yankuang energy, Pingdingshan Tianan Coal Mining Co.Ltd(601666) , Kailuan Energy Chemical Co.Ltd(600997) , China Coal Energy Company Limited(601898) , Beijing Haohua Energy Resource Co.Ltd(601101) and so on.
[highlights inventory]
the national development and Reform Commission held a special meeting on stabilizing coal prices to interview some enterprises with falsely high prices
According to the exclusive information of the interface news insiders, on the afternoon of February 9, the economic operation regulation Bureau of the national development and Reform Commission will host a video conference to arrange the work of stabilizing the coal market price and interview some enterprises with falsely high prices.
In 2021 the country issued 7489.8 billion yuan of local bonds, with an average interest rate of 3.36%
The Ministry of Finance released the issuance and debt balance of local government bonds in December 2021: from January to December 2021, the country issued 4370.9 billion yuan of new bonds and 3118.9 billion yuan of refinancing bonds. In total, 7489.8 billion yuan of local government bonds were issued nationwide, including 2566.9 billion yuan of general bonds and 4922.9 billion yuan of special bonds. The average issuing interest rate of local government bonds is 3.36%, including 3.26% for general bonds and 3.41% for special bonds.
the “first brother” on the gem plummeted by 100 billion, and the rumor fell sharply Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750)
The decline of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) was mainly caused by rumors. Recently, the US Department of Commerce included 33 Chinese entities in its unverified list, including Shenzhen Hymson Laser Intelligent Equipments Co.Ltd(688559) subsidiary Guangzhou Shenzhen Hymson Laser Intelligent Equipments Co.Ltd(688559) Laser Technology Co., Ltd., Shenzhen Hymson Laser Intelligent Equipments Co.Ltd(688559) as the supplier of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) . The market is worried that Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) will be affected.
[fund trend]
According to the statistics of Dongcai, as of the closing, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets showed a net outflow of funds. On that day, the net outflow of funds from Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 23.708 billion yuan, the net outflow of super large orders was 7.536 billion yuan, the net outflow of large orders was 16.172 billion yuan, the inflow of medium orders was 1.423 billion yuan, and the net inflow of small orders was 22.286 billion yuan.
[limit analysis]
Today, the daily limit was 68 and the daily limit was 8;
Today, the number of trading boards in the two cities decreased compared with the previous trading day, and the number of trading boards decreased compared with the previous trading day. The price limit data showed that market sentiment fell slightly today compared with the previous trading day. According to the data of Hithink Royalflush Information Network Co.Ltd(300033) , the trading limits of individual stocks in the two cities are mostly concentrated in cultural media, Huawei concept, annual report pre increase and other sectors. The theme heat of the two cities is general, and the profit-making effect is general.
[strategy] {123567}
Thursday Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) fell again, causing the gem index to continue to decline. In addition, the cro sector, which fell sharply this week, continued to decline. After the Spring Festival, the A-share market has made a choice, and the infrastructure sector has become a new leader. The civil explosion concept related to infrastructure, underground pipe network, water conservancy, prefabricated buildings, architectural decoration and other sectors have increased by more than 10%! In addition, coal, nonferrous metals and other sectors also ranked at the top of the list. The Chinese prefix sector has performed well this week because it covers finance, infrastructure and other sectors. Steady growth and undervaluation can be said to be the main consideration of the market.
Looking at the market in the medium term, the liquidity at the macro level has gradually improved, and the central bank has continuously cut reserve requirements and interest rates to release liquidity, indicating that the policy bottom has appeared; The medium-term market is expected to rise, but the construction of the market bottom is more complex and there is a time lag between the market bottom and the policy bottom. We should be more patient.
In the short term, before the Spring Festival, A-Shares have been callback continuously, and the overvalued track stocks and growth stocks have been significantly adjusted. The undervalued blue chips reflect a certain degree of defensive. The make-up decline of blue chips in the last week before the festival is a signal to accelerate the bottom. After the Spring Festival, the market liquidity improved and the spring offensive was officially launched. It is suggested to allocate four sectors: state-owned assets reform, high annual growth, securities companies and oversold new shares.
