The stock indexes of Shenzhen and Shanghai were released under the high and weak adjustment of overseas markets, the official issuance of the "14th five year plan" for the development of advanced equipment manufacturing industry in Liaoning Province, the issuance of the detailed policy rules for guaranteeing the supply of vegetables and other daily necessities in Xi\'an, the large-scale net outflow of funds from the North exceeded 4 billion, and the risk of "general decline + sharp decline + sharp decline" reappeared in most industry segmentation indexes, The negative line is adjusted by going up and down, and the resistance positive line of the previous trading day is reversed. In order to speed up the bottom of the small cycle and test the low point of the volatility downward, it is advisable to be patient and wait for an effective bottom stabilization signal.
In terms of the Shanghai stock index, in the process of testing the resonance points of the upward trend line, moving average and neck line, the volatility has not broken the strong support of 3540 points, and the upward trend can not be established, which has been destroyed and changed; When the gem index is blocked, the technical adjustment of the 5th line is slightly larger than that of the previous trading day, which is the demand to cover the gap below. The volatility does not give an effective bottom stabilization signal. Do not blindly chase up or overweight; Combined with the operation of the five wave end contraction of the Kechuang 50 index and the three wave fall of the Shenzhen Component Index to test the multiple bottom strong support in the early stage, it is expected that the two stock indexes controlled by the "Mao stock fall" may continue to test the low kinetic energy and potential energy. However, from the historical experience and law, once the bottom grinding trend is completed at the end of the three wave or five wave, the multi head counterattack is imminent.
At the opening, the phosphorus concept, industrial marijuana, CXO concept, tobacco concept, NMN concept, medicine, banking and other sectors rose against the trend, forming a strong positive leading and long driving force for the index. Combined with the long short energy ratio, 70 stocks rose by more than 9%, 138 stocks rose by more than 5%, 318 stocks rose by more than 3%, 13 stocks fell by more than 9%, 160 stocks fell by more than 5%, and 563 stocks fell by more than 3%. It is expected that the cultivation of diamond, digital currency, pork, solid-state battery, meta universe concept, supercapacitor, gallium nitride and other sectors will lead the decline, Or the "empty trap" nature of accelerating the bottom of the favorable index, looking forward to the multi head counterattack after the "last kick". Maintain the "two low and one high" varieties of the core track and continue the operation strategy of bargain hunting layout. It is suggested that investors benefit from economic and industrial policies and are in the upward track of the business cycle to explore good companies with "significantly improved expectation difference", which should be able to harvest a better "cross year" red envelope market.
In terms of news, the national top-level design emphasizes promoting the normalization, institutionalization and speed-up expansion of centralized volume procurement, agrees in principle with the construction plan of modern circulation system in the 14th five year plan, and the development plan of raw material industry in the 14th five year plan has been released, The guiding opinions on promoting the high-quality development of the iron and steel industry and the implementation plan for carbon peak in the iron and steel industry will also be issued in succession. It is clear that the steady economic measures in 2022 will be promoted one after another, which will be conducive to the merger and reorganization of the industry and further improve the green, intelligent, high-end and service level of the industry.
The Ministry of industry and information technology, the state network information office and other 12 departments jointly issued the notice, organized and carried out the pilot demonstration of the application of network security technology, and met the network security needs of important industries such as public communication and information services, energy, transportation, water conservancy, emergency management, finance, medical treatment, radio and television, from cloud security, artificial intelligence security, big data security Select a number of pilot demonstration projects with advanced technology and remarkable application results in 9 key directions: Internet of vehicles security, Internet of things security, smart city security, network security common technology, network security innovation service and network security "high-precision" technology innovation platform.
The Ministry of industry and information technology and other six departments jointly issued the implementation guide for the activity of "one hundred cities and one thousand screens". By building or guiding the transformation of China's large screen into 4K / 8K ultra-high definition large screen, they enriched the service scenes of ultra-high definition video and audio, accelerated the integrated and innovative development of ultra-high definition video and audio in many aspects, and promoted the emergence of new technologies, new formats and new models. The State Administration of radio and television has issued the guiding opinions on promoting the construction of smart radio and television rural projects. By 2025, the service capacity of smart radio and television rural areas will be greatly improved, the application of new generation information technology in rural areas will be accelerated, new business forms, new models and new scenes will be widely expanded, and the transformation of radio and television from functional to intelligent will be basically realized, Identify the industries and industries that benefit from the core, or because the Federal Reserve strengthened bond purchase and contraction or increased interest rates 3-4 times during the year, resulting in the acceleration of phased risk release. However, for the medium-term strategy, it is good to "dig a gold pit" at the beginning of the year, which is conducive to the future. After the "old hot spot ebb", a new "long main line" will be formed, and a favorable shock rising market will be deduced.
The author believes that the CBRC emphasizes maintaining strategic concentration, unswervingly returning to the source of security, and actively participating in the top-level system design of national strategies such as healthy China and coping with population aging; The Beijing Industrial Internet development action plan (2021-2023) emphasizes that Beijing will build itself into a highland of industrial software innovation, industrial Internet platform empowerment, industrial Internet security services and industrial Internet industry development leading the country and affecting the world; Shanghai agreed in principle to the measures of Shanghai Municipality for the administration of bonded oil filling of international navigation ships and the implementation plan of Shanghai Municipality for promoting the high-quality development of elderly care and education services. Focusing on the "3 + 6" industrial system, Shanghai paid close attention to the investment attraction of manufacturing industry, carried out infrastructure investment in five new towns, urban digital transformation, new infrastructure and other fields, and made it clear that the more extreme "general decline + extreme + sharp decline", The more favorable is the stable operation of the "two low and one high" investment main line, and deduces the shock rising bull attack market. In view of this, we will continue to focus on semiconductors, components, lithography machines, MCU chips, new materials, data centers, industrial motherboards, 5g, artificial intelligence, Internet of things, quantum technology, aviation, metauniverse, communication equipment, new energy vehicles, it equipment, UHV, energy storage, photovoltaic, hydrogen energy, green power, scarce resources, rare earth permanent magnets, securities, insurance Medicine, medical care, biological vaccine, food and beverage, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery and other sectors, grasp the opportunity of "two low and one high" subdivision leading low absorption layout, and game the cross-year red envelope market. (Note: the above information is only for reference and not for specific operation suggestions. There are risks in the market and investment should be cautious.)
Author: Zhang Cuixia, chief investment adviser of Jufeng investment
Attachment: daily analysis diagram of different indexes
(daily analysis diagram of Shanghai stock index 2022-1-11)
(daily analysis diagram of gem index 2022-1-11)
(source: Xinhua Finance and Economics)
