Observation on policy hot topics (General Office of the CPC Central Committee + State Council + ministries and commissions):
Compared with the past six months, this month ranked the top 3 in terms of overall theme popularity. By industry – technology sector: high-end equipment manufacturing, big data, carbon neutrality; Consumer sector: animation, healthy China, online education; Manufacturing sector: hydrogen energy, fuel cell and container; Base sector: smart grid, environmental protection and logistics.
Medium term policy theme focus: since February 2022, the most obvious increase in industrial heat is the cycle industry and manufacturing industry. Through the statistics of the policies in the past two weeks, it is suggested to pay attention to the policy documents related to new energy vehicles, express delivery, power batteries, environmental protection and new materials. At the same time, it is suggested to pay attention to the new sectors mentioned in the recent 30 day policy, such as security monitoring, medical imaging, photoresist, memory, artemisinin, high-performance film and nickel.
Citic Securities Company Limited(600030) Research Report hot topic observation: consumption, manufacturing and cycle sectors lead the heat.
Short term investment and research hotspots: carbon fiber, elevator, semiconductor sealing and testing, lithium negative electrode and machine vision ranked among the top five topics in the research report.
Capital data of hot areas: from the perspective of capital performance in the north of hot areas, the inflow of energy Internet, cement, distributed energy, aluminum industry and other fields in recent one week is positive.
In the fields of animation, logistics, energy, Internet and elevator, there is a resonance between policy recommendation and Research Report recommendation.
Observation on fundamentals and key factors of short-term funds: from March 26, 2022 to April 8, 2022, the profit forecast of energy Internet, silicone and carbon fiber resonates with the upward and northward net capital inflow.
Energy Internet: the revenue and net profit of wind in 2021 are expected to increase by -13.10 PCTs and 12.76 PCTs respectively. As of April 8, 2022, the northward capital has flowed into 869 million yuan in the past week and the net inflow in the past month is 4.11 billion yuan;
Organic silicon: in 2021, the revenue and net profit of wind are expected to be adjusted by 95.67 PCTs and 494.21 PCT respectively. As of April 8, 2022, the northward capital has inflow of RMB 287 million in the past week and the net inflow of RMB 116 million in the past month;
Carbon fiber: the revenue and net profit of wind in 2021 are expected to be adjusted by 8.58 PCT and 150.74 PCTs respectively. As of April 8, 2022, the northward capital inflow in the past week was 101 million yuan, and the net inflow in the past month was – 84 million yuan.
Investment suggestions for multi-dimensional public opinion theme direction: integrate the marginal change of short-term policy heat, Citic Securities Company Limited(600030) research department pays attention to the hot spots and changes of market capital flow. We suggest paying attention to the topics related to logistics, energy Internet, smart grid, carbon fiber, lithium negative electrode, hydrogen energy and covid-19 pneumonia.
Risk factors: the policy data source does not cover all departments; The hot topics of investment and research are not fully covered; The theme is consistent, and the company coverage is not comprehensive as expected.
