Monthly report of the chemical industry: the profits of the lithium battery industry chain are transferred to the upstream lithium mine, and the US-made cutting Russia reflects the necessity of localization of the semiconductor industry chain

The new materials industry index outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.51 percentage points this month. This month (202202.01202202.28, the same below), the new material industry index rose by 5.51%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.51 percentage points and the gem index by 6.46 percentage points; As of March 2, 2022, the new materials industry index has increased by 14.33% in the past year, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 15.03 percentage points and the gem index by 18.79 percentage points.

Monthly market of each segment of new materials. In terms of degradable materials, the prices of PLA and PBAT remained stable. As of March 2, 2022, the average quotation of PLA was 25000 yuan / ton, and the price was the same as that of the previous month. The average quotation of PBAT was 25500 yuan / ton, and the price was the same as that of the previous month. In terms of semiconductor materials, as of March 2, 2022, Shenwan semiconductor materials index closed at 891862, up 0.24% month on month, hitting the bottom and rebounded slightly. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index closed at 330480, down 5.87% month on month. In terms of new lithium battery materials, lithium iron phosphate offered 156000 yuan / ton this month, a record high; In January 2022, a total of 8.87gwh of lithium iron phosphate batteries were loaded, up 172.72% year-on-year and down 41.04% month on month. Since July 2021, the loading volume of lithium iron phosphate batteries has exceeded that of ternary batteries for seven consecutive months.

New material sector and individual stock recommendation. Give the industry “leading city” rating; We suggest looking for investment opportunities from the following four main lines: 1. New energy lithium battery sector. At the upstream resource end, the price of lithium carbonate continues to reach a new high, which reflects the shortage of lithium resources. Lithium has become one of the core elements of the development of lithium battery industry. In 2022, the global demand for lithium carbonate maintained strong growth, and the growth on the supply side was relatively limited. In addition, relevant mining enterprises experienced the decline cycle of lithium mines in the previous period, so they were relatively cautious in expanding production. It is expected that the prices of lithium mines and lithium carbonate will remain high in 2022. In the short term, it is suggested to pay attention to the mica lithium extraction enterprises Yongxing Special Materials Technology Co.Ltd(002756) and Jiangxi Special Electric Motor Co.Ltd(002176) ; In the medium and long term, it is suggested to pay attention to the leading lithium resources Ganfeng Lithium Co.Ltd(002460) and Tianqi Lithium Corporation(002466) . At the midstream material end, with the recovery of the proportion of lithium iron phosphate installed back, the demand for lithium iron phosphate is increasing day by day. It is suggested to pay attention to Shenzhen Dynanonic Co.Ltd(300769) , the leader of lithium iron phosphate industry. At the same time, it is suggested to pay attention to upstream raw material enterprises, such as Hubei Xingfa Chemicals Group Co.Ltd(600141) , Yunnan Yuntianhua Co.Ltd(600096) , Xinyangfeng Agricultural Technology Co.Ltd(000902) . In terms of ternary materials, 4680 batteries are about to be officially used, and the demand for high nickel ternary battery materials is expected to usher in a major breakthrough. It is suggested to pay attention to Chinese high-quality enterprises of cathode materials and precursors Beijing Easpring Material Technology Co.Ltd(300073) , Hunan Changyuan Lico Co.Ltd(688779) , Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co.Ltd(603799) , etc. 2. Semiconductor material sector. The localization of semiconductor materials is the general trend. It is suggested to pay attention to the high-quality companies in the upstream semiconductor material segment, including the field of semiconductor photoresist: at present, China’s only Jiangsu Nata Opto-Electronic Material Co.Ltd(300346) , Jingrui Co., Ltd., which has the production capacity of ARF photoresist, KrF photoresist high-quality enterprises Red Avenue New Materials Group Co.Ltd(603650) and domestic photoresist high-quality companies Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials Co.Ltd(300236) etc; Subdivided head enterprises in the field of electronic special gas Jiangsu Nata Opto-Electronic Material Co.Ltd(300346) , Jiangsu Yoke Technology Co.Ltd(002409) , Guangdong Huate Gas Co.Ltd(688268) , Suzhou Jinhong Gas Co.Ltd(688106) , etc; Leading company of wet electronic chemicals Jiangyin Jianghua Microelectronics Materials Co.Ltd(603078) etc. 3. Degradable material sector. Degradable materials are the focus of China’s policy. At present, PLA and PBAT materials are the most mature and may be popularized on a large scale. It is suggested to pay attention to Henan Jindan Lactic Acid Technology Co.Ltd(300829) and Cofco Biotechnology Co.Ltd(000930) , Hengli Petrochemical Co.Ltd(600346) , which have the core technology of PLA lactide, Hengli Petrochemical Co.Ltd(600346) , which has the integrated industrial chain of PBAT, and Red Avenue New Materials Group Co.Ltd(603650) , which has the core patent of BASF PBAT. 4. Salt lake lithium extraction sector. It is estimated that the mainstream technologies for lithium extraction from salt lakes in China in the future are adsorption method, membrane method and extraction method. From the current point of view, the adsorption method of Sunresin New Materials Co.Ltd Xi’An(300487) has been used in zangge and Jintai, and the effect is good. Sunresin New Materials Co.Ltd Xi’An(300487) . At the same time, it is suggested to pay attention to Jiangsu Jiuwu Hi-Tech Co.Ltd(300631) and Suntar Environmental Technology Co.Ltd(688101) of membrane method and Zhejiang Xinhua Chemical Co.Ltd(603867) ofextraction method.

Risk warning: the policy is not as expected; Price fluctuation of raw materials; Macroeconomic growth slowed down and downstream demand was lower than expected; The intensification of Sino US trade friction has slowed down the growth of downstream demand.

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