Coal and oil rise again, led by the concept sector of China Russia trade. Look at the opportunities and challenges of A-Shares in March!

Affected by geographical conflicts, shocks have become the main theme of the recent market. On Monday (February 28), the three major stock indexes in Shanghai and Shenzhen stubbornly closed red, realizing the perfect ending in February. Insiders generally believe that the disturbance is fading, and March is a good time to layout the spring market.

The Shenzhen Composite Index rose 32.0% in the third month, and the Shenzhen Composite Index rose 32.0%; Stocks in Shanghai and Shenzhen fell more or rose less, with a total turnover of 949.1 billion yuan. Specifically, the Sino Russian trade concept sector led the rise, and five individual stocks, including Jinzhou Port Co.Ltd(600190) , Zhe Jiang Dong Ri Limited Company(600113) , collectively rose by the limit; Digital currency, wechat applet, CIPS concept, data security, small metal and other sectors were active; The kitchen and bathroom electrical appliance sector led the decline, Hangzhou Robam Appliances Co.Ltd(002508) down more than 6%; Prefabricated buildings, industrial machines, real estate services and other sectors led the decline. Today, Hongying intelligent landed on the main board of Shenzhen Stock Exchange, up 44%; Han CNC landed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange gem, down 13.58%. Nine stocks rose on the Beijing stock exchange today, and Hongxi technology landed on the Beijing stock exchange, up 2.17%. In February, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 3%, the Shenzhen Composite Index rose 0.96% and the gem index fell 0.95%.

On Monday, the three major A-share indexes rebounded from the bottom and collectively closed up. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.32% to 346231 points; The Shenzhen Composite Index rose 0.32% to 1345573 points; The gem index rose 0.89% to 288131 points; The total turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 949.1 billion yuan; Net purchase of 2.047 billion yuan by northbound funds; Overall, stocks in the two cities fell more and rose less.

In terms of industry sector, on Monday, 16 industries in shenwanyi level industries rose, among which coal (2.23%), non-ferrous metals (1.98%), power equipment (1.51%) and other industries led the rise, all exceeding 1.5%; In addition, household appliances, commercial retail and other industries led the decline, all exceeding 1%.

Specifically, the Sino Russian trade concept sector led the rise, and five individual stocks, including Jinzhou Port Co.Ltd(600190) , Zhe Jiang Dong Ri Limited Company(600113) , collectively rose by the limit; Digital currency, wechat applet, CIPS concept, data security, small metal and other sectors were active; The kitchen and bathroom electrical appliance sector led the decline, Hangzhou Robam Appliances Co.Ltd(002508) down more than 6%; Prefabricated buildings, industrial machines, real estate services and other sectors led the decline.

It is noteworthy that Monday is the closing day of February. From the market performance of this month, the three indexes have different ups and downs, showing a pattern of strong Shanghai and deep weakness. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3%, the Shenzhen Composite Index rose by 0.96% and the gem index fell by 0.95%. In terms of northbound funds, the cumulative net purchase amount since February has reached 3.98 billion yuan.

For the future market, Guotai Junan Securities Co.Ltd(601211) Securities believes that under the influence of external events, inflation is disturbed and risk assets are gradually desensitized. In terms of style, the undervalued sector is still dominant. We should focus on the direction of impaired early profits and marginal improvement power, grasp steady growth and layout consumption. In the short term, under the background that the downward pressure on earnings has not been alleviated and the inflection point of global liquidity has arrived, risk appetite has become the main disturbance factor of the market. As for the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, first, it affects the risk appetite, and the current risk aversion is dominant; Second, by affecting the supply of energy and other commodities, it will raise global inflation expectations. From a medium-term perspective, China’s economic recovery is still the core. Considering the marginal relaxation in the real estate sector (the proportion of down payment, the relaxation of purchase and loan restrictions), the expectation of wide credit will rise again, and the driving of credit cycle → profit cycle will boost the steady growth market.

China Securities Co.Ltd(601066) Securities said that the market is still in a favorable window period, and A-Shares will face four challenges. In the medium term, A-Shares will still face four major challenges: the downward pressure on performance brought by the economic bottoming period, the rhythm and intensity of policies, the interest rate increase cycle of the Federal Reserve, and the China policy of the US mid-term election year. Take the lead in configuration: grasp the “three low and one change” (low undervalued value and low congestion, with fundamental marginal improvement expectation), make high dividends as the bottom position, counter cyclical upward industry as the main force, and make the theme of marginal improvement of low distribution industry.

At the same time, funds, private placement and other institutions also expressed optimistic views on the future market Hu Po, manager of Rongzhi investment fund under private placement paipaipai.com, believes that there has been some adjustment in the whole market since the beginning of month, and then the adjustment of high boom track has been relatively sufficient, including the upcoming two sessions and stable demand, so there has been a rebound of high boom track to a certain extent recently. In the short term, we can pay attention to two aspects. On the one hand, the current rebound should be sustainable; On the other hand, we can pay close attention to the relevant industrial regulatory policies issued by the government during the two sessions.

Huang Yi, the investment director of Hongfeng assets, said that the market has bottomed out and is rising at the bottom, so there is no need to be pessimistic about the future market. After the rapid decline adjustment in the early stage of the market, under the influence of a series of negative events in the periphery, A-Shares have stepped out of the bottom rising market and can begin to be actively allocated. The probability of follow-up market is still a structural market.

Monday (February 28) trading limit of individual stocks: p align = “center” tabulation: Zhang Ying p align = “center” style = “text align: left;” hot spot 1: digital currency soared by more than 3% Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information Co.Ltd(300468) and other three shares 20cm limit

On Monday, the concept of digital currency rose strongly. As of the close, the sector rose by 3.4%, ranking first in the list. Four concept stocks rose collectively, of which three stocks, including Shenzhen Forms Syntron Information Co.Ltd(300468) , Brilliance Technology Co.Ltd(300542) , Beijing Infosec Technologies Co.Ltd(688201) , rose by 20cm.

In terms of news, the recently released “Henan Province’s 14th five year plan for digital economy and information development” proposed to clearly strive for the pilot of digital RMB. According to incomplete statistics, the digital RMB is mentioned in the “14th five year plan” development plans issued by more than 10 provinces and cities.

Anxin Securities pointed out that the “14th five year plan for the development of financial standardization” has put forward new requirements for the development of digital RMB standards. Standard setting is an important link in industrial development. A unified digital RMB infrastructure, issuance and circulation return process and terminal acceptance environment will become the preconditions for the large-scale promotion of digital RMB. The unification of standards will lay a solid foundation for the deepening of digital RMB application scenarios and the expansion of application fields in the futurep align=”center” style=”text-align:left;”> hot spot 2: development assistance and strong rise of coal and oil sector

At the close of Monday, the development assistance and coal oil sectors led the gains, reaching 2.46% and 2.31% respectively.

Among them, Xinjiang Zhundong Petroleum Technology Co.Ltd(002207) , Renzhi shares increased their limits one after another, and both closed three limit sectors in succession.

On the news front, Brent crude oil soared by more than 7% in early trading on Monday, breaking the $100 mark again. Affected by the escalation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, WTI crude oil and Brent crude oil both exceeded US $100 per barrel last week, but the prices of both crude oils fell after the United States reiterated its decision not to sanction Russian energy exports.

The Pacific Securities Co.Ltd(601099) Securities said that the current war between Russia and Ukraine has exacerbated global tensions, the international crude oil price is in a high shock stage, and the Brent main contract once exceeded US $100. However, due to the US sanctions against Russia, there is no restriction on Russia’s oil and gas resources, the increase of oil price has dropped. In the future, oil prices will probably remain high, mainly because the global oil and gas industry is still in the stage of serious underinvestmentp align=”center” style=”text-align:left;”> hot spot 3: Han’s CNC lost nearly 5200 yuan in the first lot

On Monday, Hongying intelligent landed on the main board of Shenzhen Stock Exchange, up 44%; CNKI closed at 13.66% on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, down 13.58%.

In early trading, Han CNC only opened at the issue price of 76.56 yuan, and then dived in a straight line, falling 15% in 6 minutes, becoming the first IPO to break since the year of the tiger. If calculated at the closing price, the investors who win each lot lose nearly 5200 yuan.

Han’s CNC issued a P / E ratio of 108.4 times, while the average static P / E ratio of “C35 special equipment manufacturing industry” released by China Securities Index in the last month was only 38.88 times. Han’s CNC is the second highest issued share on the gem during the year, second only to Sanyuan biology. Previously, the announcement of the issuance results released by Han’s CNC showed that the amount of online investors’ abandonment was 375463 million yuan.

It is reported that Han’s CNC is a holding subsidiary of Han’S Laser Technology Industry Group Co.Ltd(002008) and is famous for equipment R & D and production in the PCB industry. The business income of PCB equipment is a strong support for the growth of Han’s CNC performance. In 2020, the operating revenue of Han’s CNC reached 2.21 billion yuan, accounting for 18.51% of Han’S Laser Technology Industry Group Co.Ltd(002008) total revenue; In 2021, Han CNC’s revenue was 4.062 billion yuan, accounting for 24.89% of Han’S Laser Technology Industry Group Co.Ltd(002008) total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 86.01%.

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