The trend of the three major A-share indexes was divided today, and the Shanghai index was shaken and sorted out, closing down 0.13% to close at 348419 points; The Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.05% to close at 1334696 points; The gem index showed a weak trend, with a decline of 1.77% to close at 283464 points. The market turnover reached 898.1 billion yuan, the industry sector rose more or less, the Sino Russian trade concept stocks rose sharply, the traditional Chinese medicine, shipping port, mining industry and oil industry rose the most, and the battery, semiconductor and aerospace industries fell the most.
Today’s news:
1. The situation in Russia and Ukraine has triggered global supply concerns. These assets have reached new highs! When will “black swan” fly away?
2. Members of the CPPCC National Committee suggested that a heavy tax should be imposed on the super average profits of the liquor industry
3. The third batch of pilot cities of digital RMB will appear soon
4. Biden said that controlling prices is the top priority at present, and urged to reduce the price of electric vehicles
5. Big action of the property market! The first city to fully relax purchase and loan restrictions has 19 measures to become the norm?
6. Exposure of concept stocks of trillion industries to meet the capital increase in the 14th five year plan (list attached)
7. Gold is on fire again! The sales volume of some stores increased by 30%! Consumer: a bracelet has gone up thousands of yuan
8. The supply is tight, and the average price of battery grade lithium carbonate exceeds 500000 yuan / ton
For the future market trend, institutions have expressed their views.
Guosheng Securities believes that the volume of the Shanghai index has not been effectively enlarged, indicating that OTC funds are still cautious. The daily line continues to maintain the box shock pattern, the transaction volume has not reached the trillion level continuously, and the index lacks the kinetic energy to break through the box pattern upward in the short term, but the bears have failed to effectively break through the box under the condition of continuous bad periphery, indicating that the support at the bottom of the box is strong, and the index may continue to maintain the shock pattern in the short term. In terms of operation, we can pay attention to the relevant growth sectors of “new energy guidance” with continuous correction since the beginning of the year and better short-term cost performance, as well as the related concepts of “stable growth” of the two sessions, “digital economy” and “counting East and west” and other theme investment opportunities.
Central China Securities Co.Ltd(601375) said that the impact of the situation in Russia and Ukraine on the A-share market may be gradually weakened in the future, and investors will pay more attention to the impact of Chinese factors. With the upcoming national two sessions, investors are advised to pay close attention to the changes in policy, capital and external market. It is expected that the short-term slight consolidation of the Shanghai stock index is more likely. It is suggested that investors should carefully pay attention to the investment opportunities in new energy, medical treatment, small metals, chemical fertilizer, semiconductor and other industries in the short term, and continue to pay attention to the investment opportunities of undervalued blue chips in the middle line.
Wanhe Securities believes that the current market uncertainty is increasing, and there are risks such as geographical situation, global supply chain and global inflation abroad; There are risks such as epidemic situation, sluggish domestic demand and increasing downward pressure on the economy, both inside and outside are facing great uncertainty. At present, the market will still focus on finding the bottom, and the proximity of the two sessions has also boosted the wait-and-see mood in the market. This year, China focuses on steady growth. Facing the new crisis in the global supply chain, China is facing more severe challenges in the fields of energy, resources and equipment. At this time, it is necessary to wait for the two sessions to make further arrangements around steady growth and clarify the direction of steady growth this year. In terms of industry, we can pay attention to the industrial chain related to consumption and infrastructure.
Huaxi Securities Co.Ltd(002926) said that due to geographical emergencies, investors’ risk appetite decreased, resulting in increased global asset volatility. Given that China has a complete industrial chain and little inflation pressure in China, RMB assets have been given the attribute of risk aversion. It is expected that the disturbance of overseas risk events to the A-share market is relatively short. The following two sessions will be held, and it is expected that the steady growth policy will still be intensively implemented, and A-Shares are still in the policy dividend period; In addition, A-share enterprises have successively entered the disclosure period of the first quarterly report of the annual report, and the sectors with high profit growth and business reversal will become the main line. In terms of allocation, there are three main investment lines: first, the allocation varieties of “stable growth” policy, such as “bank, real estate, building materials and construction”; Second, “food and beverage, breeding, Shenzhen Agricultural Products Group Co.Ltd(000061) “, etc. expected to benefit from price increase (price increase); Third, the theme of benefiting from the promotion of policies (support), “new energy (vehicles), digital economy, East West calculation, agriculture, rural areas and farmers”, etc.
Shanxi Securities Co.Ltd(002500) said that at present, the A-share market is not able to take action on the whole, or will continue to fluctuate under the background of lower profits driven by China’s economic downturn and increased overseas uncertainty. The recovery of market sentiment on Friday was partly boosted by the news that “Russia and Ukraine are expected to negotiate”. However, at present, the negotiations have miscarried again, the sanctions have started, the overseas epidemic is still erupting, and the Chinese epidemic is resurgent. The overall market sentiment may be impacted again, especially the sanctions on international settlement may affect the trade settlement of China’s import and export to Russia, In order to impact the business development and capital flow of China’s import and export enterprises, we must be vigilant against the resulting impact and risks. At the same time, there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Structural opportunities still exist. It is suggested to focus on the bottom opportunities in the adjustment in combination with the macro policy trend, industrial logic, defense capability, valuation level of different style sectors and expected repair logic. At the same time, it is again emphasized to closely follow the marginal changes of overseas situation and remain relatively cautious.
