[pre disc interpretation]
On Thursday, the market was seriously fragmented. The Shanghai index bottomed out in the afternoon and turned red at the end of the day. The record index continued to fall under the killing of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) . The two cities are sharply divided, and the individual stocks on the disk are also obviously different. Yesterday’s upward attack on the market has revealed a certain fatigue. Although there is still room for upward attack, the resistance suppression in the early transaction intensive areas can not be ignored, and continue to be cautious in the short term.
On the disk, the first play is Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) , which can be said to cause success or failure. Intraday Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) once fell by 10%, weakening the fund’s heavy position stocks and scrapping the new energy track stocks, leading to the gem out of the negative and positive. Ningwang did not stabilize in the later stage, which had a great negative impact on the index and individual stocks. Pay attention to vigilance. On the other hand, the performance of new and old infrastructure is obviously strong. Under the influence of infrastructure development by various departments, the activity of the sector has increased again. As we said before, there is policy support to tamp the hot direction of the bottom. It is more optimistic in the medium and long term, and continue to pay attention in the later stage.
Technically, the shock consolidation of the Shanghai stock index after three consecutive positive days is a very normal performance. First, the technical indicators of the market need to be repaired and wait for the line to move up on the 6th; Second, the recent profit chips need to be cleared to facilitate the later rise, and pay attention to the moving average pressure of the 18th line at the same time.
Strategically, the current structural market is becoming more and more distinct, and the differentiation between the two cities may become the norm in the later stage. Therefore, we should pay more attention to the hot direction and the screening of the track. First of all, we remain optimistic about the overall A-share market in the future, which is based on macro policies. Secondly, when the macro environment is stable, the sectors promoted by policy catalysis are important allocation directions, such as new and old infrastructure, finance, etc. continue to pay attention to their continuity; Airport shipping, which is conducive to the recovery of the epidemic, has come out of a relatively strong rebound in some heads, which can be paid attention to. Finally, in the short term, we still pay close attention to the activity of digital economy. In terms of overall operation, we should avoid chasing after the rise. We should sell high and absorb low according to the rhythm of individual stocks, and control the position at 50-60% in line with the strength changes of the market.
[message side]
According to the data released by the central bank, the increment of social financing scale in January was 6.17 trillion yuan, 984.2 billion yuan more than the same period last year; Among them, RMB loans to the real economy increased by 4.2 trillion yuan, a monthly statistical high, an increase of 380.6 billion yuan year-on-year. At the end of January, M2 increased by 9.8% year-on-year, 0.8 and 0.4 percentage points higher than that at the end of last month and the same period of last year respectively. In January, RMB loans increased by 3.98 trillion yuan, a monthly statistical high, an increase of 394.4 billion yuan year-on-year.
[short term hot spot]
According to media reports, when China Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group Co.Ltd(000901) group released the blue book on China Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group Co.Ltd(000901) activities (2021), it was revealed that China Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group Co.Ltd(000901) group plans to arrange more than 50 Aerospace Launch missions and launch more than 140 spacecraft this year. Among them, the construction of the space station is the top priority of the annual Aerospace mission. Ma Tao, Vice Minister of the Aerospace Department of the China Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group Co.Ltd(000901) group, said that in 2022, the group will complete six major tasks of the manned space station project, fully build the space station and push China Addsino Co.Ltd(000547) to a new height.
The Ministry of industry and information technology and other eight departments recently issued the implementation plan on accelerating the comprehensive utilization of industrial resources, proposing to strive to achieve a comprehensive utilization rate of 57% of bulk industrial solid waste by 2025. Among them, the smelting slag reached 73%, and the industrial by-product gypsum reached 73%. The utilization of major renewable resources exceeds 480 million tons, including 320 million tons of waste steel and 20 million tons of waste non-ferrous metals.
[European and American stock markets]
On Thursday, Eastern time, the US CPI rose 7.5% year-on-year in January, a 40 year high, further strengthening the Fed’s expectation of raising interest rates. The three major US stock indexes fell across the board. As of the close, the Dow fell 526.47 points to close at 35241.59 points, down 1.47%; The NASDAQ fell 304.73 points, or 2.10%, to 14185.64; The S & P 500 index fell 83.10 points, or 1.81%, to 4504.08.
On Thursday, European time, the main indexes of European stocks were mixed. As of the close, the UK FTSE 100 index closed at 7672.40, up 28.98 points or 0.38% from the previous trading day; France CAC40 index closed at 7101.55 points, down 29.33 points or 0.41% from the previous trading day; Germany DAX30 index closed at 15490.44, up 8.43 points or 0.05% from the previous trading day.
