Today, the trend of major indexes differentiated, the Shanghai index fluctuated throughout the day, rose slightly, and the gem index fell sharply again. On the sector, the tourism, aquaculture and coal sectors leading the rise today are low or undervalued sectors, with strong capital risk aversion. On individual stocks, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) once fell below the integer mark of 500 yuan, then rebounded, and finally closed down 5.32%, with a transaction amount of nearly 15 billion, a record high.
sector
Yesterday, civil explosion, 5g, digital currency and other sectors ushered in a climax one after another. According to experience, these sectors are prone to differentiation the next day. Today, 5g and digital currency sectors differentiated as scheduled, and the civil explosion sector continued to jump and rise.
After capital flows out of 5g and digital currency sectors, it may flow into these directions:
1) scenic spots, online tourism, airport shipping, hotels, catering and other tourism sectors rose collectively and led the increase, while Caesar tourism, Jiangsu Tianmu Lake Tourism Co.Ltd(603136) , Xi’An Qujiang Cultural Tourism Co.Ltd(600706) , Utour Group Co.Ltd(002707) rose one after another. Professionals said that previously, under the influence of the epidemic, listed companies in the tourism industry suffered heavy losses in both stock prices and performance. Compared with 2020, the performance of Listed Companies in the tourism industry has recovered in 2021, so the share price of tourism companies is expected to gradually repair.
2) pork, chicken and other aquaculture sectors have continued to strengthen recently, and today Leshan Giantstar Farming&Husbandry Corporation Limited(603477) , Fujian Aonong Biological Technology Group Incorporation Limited(603363) , Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co.Ltd(002548) , Jiangxi Zhengbang Technology Co.Ltd(002157) , Hunan New Wellful Co.Ltd(600975) , Dongrui Food Group Co.Ltd(001201) rose by the limit. On the news, the pig grain price ratio has entered the secondary warning range of excessive decline, and the national development and Reform Commission will start the collection and storage of pork reserves with relevant departments as appropriate. Brokerage institutions believe that factors such as changes in the marketing rhythm of short-term farmers will affect the fluctuation of pig prices. Even if there is a periodic rebound, as long as it is a loss, the clearance of stocks will continue. Pork stocks are still in a very good configuration window period, and the decline of fertile sows every month will be the catalyst of the pig sector.
3) the coal sector rose against the trend and Jizhong Energy Resources Co.Ltd(000937) rose by the limit against the downward pressure of futures. Citic Securities Company Limited(600030) recently said that under the background of policy regulation, the market coal price expectation has changed, putting pressure on the profit forecast and valuation level of the sector. At present, the valuation of the sector is at a historical low, and the trend of coal price is stronger than expected. In addition, the performance forecast of some coal enterprises in 2021 is higher than expected, and the international energy price is high. The catalyst for the rebound of the sector is relatively sufficient.
4) the capital returned to the infrastructure sector on the same day, and infrastructure stocks such as Henan Provincial Communications Planning & Design Institute Co.Ltd(300732) , Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co.Ltd(002761) , Macrolink Culturaltainment Development Co.Ltd(000620) , China Haisum Engineering Co.Ltd(002116) , Beijing Hanjian Heshan Pipeline Co.Ltd(603616) , Zhubo Design Co.Ltd(300564) rose sharply in the afternoon.
To sum up, the tourism, aquaculture and coal sectors leading the rise today are low or undervalued sectors, and there is a strong sense of capital risk aversion.
individual shares
Recently, the US Department of Commerce included 33 Chinese entities in its unverified list, including Shenzhen Hymson Laser Intelligent Equipments Co.Ltd(688559) suppliers of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) . Or affected by this, the share price of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) fell this morning until the lowest point of the share price closed at the integer price of 500 yuan / share. In the afternoon, the long short game was still very fierce. At one time, there was a commitment order of more than 200 million in the stock price, but it was still dominated by short positions and broke the price of 500 yuan.
Why is the game at the price of 500 yuan so fierce? In fact, the integer price of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) may imply a “law”. In addition, we are familiar with the top and bottom of the box, the golden section line, the annual line, the 5th line, the 20th line and the 60th line. These “special prices” are easy to attract the attention of technical investors. Many reasons are that these positions do contain the law of “turning” and, of course, the “psychological price” of investors; There is also the “Fibonacci series”, also known as the golden section series, which you may not be familiar with. It is also wonderful to apply this law to the stock market to calculate the support pressure level.
As of the closing, although the decline of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) narrowed, it still fell by more than 5%. In short, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) if there is no sign of stopping the decline, it may be difficult for new energy tracks such as lithium battery, photovoltaic and wind power to turn around. In the medium and long term, Haitong Securities Company Limited(600837) said that when the leading stocks led by Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) began to make up the decline, it can generally be seen that the market has entered the end of the decline. Although the mood is still unstable, you can try to seize the rebound opportunity after the sharp decline.
future analysis
In terms of index, as of the close, the Shanghai index rose 0.17%, the Shenzhen composite index fell 0.73% and the gem index fell 1.98%. Northbound funds bought a net 4.52 billion yuan throughout the day, including 5.271 billion yuan for Shanghai Stock connect and 750 million yuan for Shenzhen Stock connect. The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets today was 936.4 billion, up from 4.6 billion in the previous trading day.
The differentiation trend of large and small indexes continued. The gem index fell by nearly 2%, mainly due to the collective decline of new energy concept stocks driven by the sharp decline of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) , which basically repeats the trend of this Tuesday and is also due to the chain reaction brought by the sharp decline of Wuxi Apptec Co.Ltd(603259) . For the recent downturn trend of the growth track, Minsheng Securities said that behind the re adjustment of the mainstream track, the overseas factor is only the catalyst, and the loose consensus is the internal cause.
In terms of sentiment, it rose 1700, 1800 less than the previous trading day. Excluding ST shares and unopened new shares, the daily limit was 55, down 41 from the previous trading day; 25 fried boards, an increase of 6 over the previous trading day; Gem / Kechuang board stocks rose by 2, down 4 from the previous trading day; There were 2 drop limits, an increase of 2 over the previous trading day.
At present, market sentiment is vulnerable to the main trend of the new cycle, such as digital currency and infrastructure. Today, the infrastructure sector strengthened again, but the differentiation of the digital currency sector as scheduled and the sharp decline of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) , Wuxi Apptec Co.Ltd(603259) led to the decline of many growth track stocks, which may seriously hit the confidence of the market rebound, and the sentiment index may fall below the active area.
market highlights
1. The closing trend of China’s commodity futures was differentiated, and the main contract of soda ash rose 6%
On February 10, the closing trend of China’s commodity futures was divided. The main contract of soda ash rose by 6%, the international copper rose by more than 4%, Shanghai copper, glass and iron ore rose by more than 3%, Douer, soybean meal, Shanghai zinc, Shanghai aluminum, Shanghai tin, Shanghai nickel and Shanghai lead rose by more than 2%, and PVC, pulp, rapeseed meal, urea, palm, ferrosilicon, stainless steel, ferrosilicon, PVC and thread rose by more than 1%. Thermal coal, coking coal and methanol fell by more than 2%, while ethylene glycol fell by more than 1%.
2. A number of insurance institutions and financial management subsidiaries responded that they have not redeemed the relevant funds of Glenn recently
On February 10, a market news said today that a large-scale venture capital / wealth management sub / fof special account redeemed the fund managed by fund manager Glenn. The financial Associated Press reporter asked a number of insurance institutions and financial management subsidiaries and said that they had not redeemed relevant funds recently.
