Yuanda: the market got off to a good start as scheduled, cautious and optimistic, waiting for the signal on the right

today’s disk

On the first trading day after the Spring Festival, the Shanghai and Shenzhen indexes showed a shock rebound pattern as a whole. The three major indexes opened higher in the morning, but then performed differently. The Shanghai stock index opened higher and walked higher all day, maintaining a strong pattern all day. After the gem index opened higher, it fell back, diving for a time, and turning red again near the end of the day. Despite twists and turns, the three major indexes finally closed red and maintained a good start. Among them, the Shanghai index rose 2.03%, the gem index rose 0.31% and the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.96%.

In terms of industry sectors, engineering consulting services, mining industry, combustible ice, underground pipe network, oil and gas equipment and services, low-carbon metallurgy, engineering construction, cement and building materials and other sectors led the increase, while covid-19 drugs, lidar, Eastern digital Western computing, longevity medicine, cloud games, education, Huawei Euler, communication services and other sectors led the decline. In terms of the rise and fall of individual stocks, more than 3400 individual stocks in the two cities rose and more than 1100 individual stocks fell, with obvious profit-making effect. As of the closing, the outflow of main funds was only more than 2 billion, the net purchase of funds from the North exceeded 5 billion, and the market turnover was 0.82 trillion.

analysis of the current position of the index

Although today’s index has achieved a good start in the year of the tiger, from the time point of view, there is basically no upward attack after the high opening. The gem index once turned green, and the maximum weight Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.Limited(300750) opened high and went low. Judging from the transaction volume of the all a index, there is no obvious large-scale action today, indicating that the mood is still depressed and we need to wait for the signal of mood warming. Therefore, we should be cautious at present. Before the short trend of major indexes is reversed, we should not be blindly radical. The market is still in the bottom building pattern, so we should continue to wait for the big opportunity after the bottom tamping is over.

coping strategies and focus

In terms of sectors, infrastructure stocks with stable growth showed strong performance, and growth stocks fell in differentiation, mainly due to the high yield of US bonds, which suppressed the growth style. According to the data of the National Bureau of statistics, although the economy is still in the expansion range, it has decreased month on month, and the market expects the steady growth measures to continue to work, which is also the reason for the accumulation of funds and the direction of large infrastructure. For the investment rhythm, the infrastructure under the expectation of steady growth can be regarded as the “fish head” market. When the steady growth policy does not exit and the effect begins to appear, the “fish body” market can be opened only when the growth stocks go along the trend. At this stage, we still continue to control the position, and the credit data in January will continue to support the effect of landing. In addition, the companies that stepped on the last time node to disclose the annual report forecast before the festival have a batch of decline limit today. The main reason is that the annual report is less than expected. Therefore, individual stocks with unsatisfactory fundamentals should be avoided, and the dark line of performance can not be ignored.

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