[morning trading strategy]
On Wednesday, the three major indexes of the A-share market shot, but the volume energy of the two cities was reduced to the lowest in the near future. The turnover of the two cities was less than 800 billion, and the pre holiday effect was prominent. Approaching the Spring Festival, there are only two trading days left. Today is the last trading day on which cash can be withdrawn the day after selling stocks. If the market can continue the rebound trend today, we can consider holding shares for the holiday before the holiday. Technically, after the Shanghai index hit a new low, there is a volume price relationship between land volume and land price, and a 15 minute bottom deviation structure has been formed. The probability of continuous shock and upward rebound of the Shanghai index is high, the short-term resistance is in the range of 3486-3536, and the probability of effective breakthrough before the festival is low; In addition, the gem index also rebounded after hitting a new low, forming a 30 minute bottom deviation structure. The rebound level is higher than the Shanghai index, so continue to maintain yesterday's view. Therefore, we should be cautious in operation. We should not catch up with the rise in the short term. If the shrinkage rebounds, it is recommended to reduce the position every time it is high. We can continue to choose the opportunity to absorb low in batches or avoid high and tend to low to exchange positions and shares to participate in the market game opportunity, but we need to reasonably control the position!
[message plane]
1. The time and strength of releasing the signal of stable growth policy from multiple departments will exceed expectations
The central economic work conference put forward "seven policy combinations" including macro, micro, structure, science and technology, reform and opening up, region and society. In the past two weeks, the state information office has intensively held press conferences. At the press conferences, the Ministry of industry and information technology, the people's Bank of China, the Ministry of Commerce, the Ministry of finance, the State Administration of Taxation and other departments revealed this year's policy ideas and force points. Many analysts said that a series of real and hard moves for steady growth will be launched this year, and some policy efforts and landing time points will exceed expectations.
