The three major A-share indexes collectively closed lower today, of which the Shanghai index fell 1.78% to close at 3394.25 points; The Shenzhen Component Index fell 2.77% to close at 13398.84 points; The gem index fell 3.25% to close at 2906.76. The market turnover reached 823 billion yuan, and the number of falling stocks exceeded 4400. Industry sectors fell across the board, led by software development, precious metals and tourism hotels. Northbound funds sold a net 14.624 billion yuan today.
Today's news:
1. Powell confirmed that he had planned to raise the interest rate in March, and did not rule out raising the interest rate at every meeting in the future
2. Surging news editorial: what to take to prop up the backbone of a shares
3. Great benefits! The State Council issued a document supporting the construction of Guizhou Baijiu production base. Kweichow Moutai Co.Ltd(600519) issue a heavy announcement
4. What is the impact of the "Eagle" attitude of the chairman of the Federal Reserve on the trend of China's stock and bond foreign exchange market?
5. Bureau of Statistics: in 2021, the profits of Industrial Enterprises above designated size increased by 34.3%, with an average increase of 18.2% in two years
For the future market trend, institutions have expressed their views.
Guosheng Securities pointed out that the short-term market may be dominated by shock consolidation after rapid downward exploration. If the rise is accompanied by effective amplification of trading volume, it can be regarded as a long signal. Technically, it is waiting for KDJ oversold gold fork. In terms of time, the policy inflection point is from February to March. After the Spring Festival, there will be a time window for the national two sessions, and positions will be properly controlled, In the medium term, pay attention to whether the big finance can drive the market out of the "spring agitation" market, and pay attention to the bargain hunting layout opportunities of the blue chip stocks in the annual report.
Shanxi Securities Co.Ltd(002500) said it was relatively optimistic about the market after the Spring Festival. The recent continuous correction of the market is not due to the deterioration of China's fundamentals, but more due to the impact of the external market and short-term market sentiment fluctuations. The Federal Reserve's interest rate increase plan has been implemented, and the probability of the full outbreak of geopolitical risks is also low. China's countercyclical and cross cyclical regulation is continuously expected to maintain a reasonable and abundant market liquidity. With the gradual decline of the disturbance of the epidemic, The market is expected to usher in a counterattack opportunity. To take a step back, the current domestic and foreign environment is relatively complex, and the market is still accompanied by some uncertainty. However, the sectors such as medicine and biology and national defense and military industry, which have fallen sharply recently, have built a safety margin. It is suggested to bargain hunting before the festival to lay out the large blue chip targets in the undervalued sectors such as finance, military industry and traditional Chinese medicine, and pay attention to the differentiation in the high boom track stocks.
YueKai securities mentioned that investors should "have a long view of scenery". Under the theme of "focus on me", steady growth is still the focus of the market in the near future. Whether it is broad money or credit, the policy underpinning economy is worth looking forward to. For the future market, the pre festival market pursues certainty, the performance of blue chip in the large market is better than that of small and medium-sized markets, the policy expectation after the festival rises again, and the market turns to pursue high elasticity. It is expected that steady growth in the first quarter is still the main market, and it is expected to take the lead in opening a wave of market dominated by large cap stocks. In terms of allocation ideas, first, pay attention to the performance of large cap stocks in the near future. There is a strong demand for phased reverse switching in large cap stocks. Focus on the main line of steady growth and undervalued value, real estate, building materials, household appliances in the infrastructure and real estate chain, as well as leisure services, food and beverage and other consumer industries that expand domestic demand. Second, pay attention to the performance of small and medium-sized markets throughout the year. This year's marginal change at the denominator end has supported the trend of small and medium-sized stocks. In the stage of steady growth, we pay attention to the investment direction dominated by expected improvement and relative profit growth, and the energy transformation, high-end manufacturing, digital economy and other directions supported by high-quality transformation and development.
Founder Securities Co.Ltd(601901) said that tapping the "three low" blue chip investment opportunities of low, low and undervalued value will be where institutional funds find the few investment "gold mines" in the first half of the bull market. From the opening characteristics and technical characteristics, the market is near the bottom low point. In order to make both index and money in the future market, taking the "three low" as the investment object is both offensive and defensive α Strategy is also available β Investment direction of space. In terms of operation, take the road of "moderation", pay attention to finance, state-owned enterprise reform concept stocks, information technology, smart cars, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, film and television media and "three low" bottom stocks, and avoid "three high" stocks and delisting risk stocks.
According to the analysis of China Greatwall Securities Co.Ltd(002939) , affected by the expectation of accelerated policy contraction of the Federal Reserve and the panic decline of US stocks, the risk appetite of A-Shares is also relatively low, the market trading volume is low, and the wait-and-see mood before the festival is heavy. In the policy window period of the local two sessions and the national two sessions, it is suggested to continue to grasp the main line of steady growth + undervalued market. First, the real estate chain benefiting from the loose margin of real estate policy, including real estate enterprises, property, household appliances, decoration building materials, etc; Second, new and old infrastructure directly related to steady growth; Third, banks and insurance companies with high-quality hedging attribute + valuation performance and outstanding cost performance.
future analysis
Citic Securities Company Limited(600030) : "emotional bottom" and "market bottom" resonate, and market overshoot brings better buying points
Huatai Securities Co.Ltd(601688) : A shares are currently cost-effective, short-term disturbance does not change the medium and long-term trend
Jufeng investment adviser: basically facing good a shares, why is it adjusted again? Can spring market be expected?
Dexun Zhenggu: the market is falling in mud and sand, and the rebound may begin
